NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	88		Excitement	3.9 [999]		MVP	Sean Elliott (SAS): +16.5%
San Antonio Spurs	101		Comeback	1.4 [830]		LVP	Robert Horry (PHX): -13.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.02	8	61%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Danny Manning	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	60%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	11	54%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Steve Nash	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	58%	0.00	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	53%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	11	48%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rex Chapman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
A.C. Green	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.03	0.05	8	44%	-0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Elliott	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.03	0.04	15	78%	0.20	1	-0.03	7	86%	-0.00
Dominique Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	18	53%	0.06	1	0.00	9	78%	-0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	5	83%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Howard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	12	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	13	46%	-0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	8	12%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	2.3	25.7	16.2	22.6	1.6	27.2	116.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +19.0%

SAS +8.3%

SAS +12.4%

SAS +8.8%

SAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	13.9	16.5	15.6	93.6	106.3	104.4
season	14.6	16.8		106.8	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.6		109.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.3	13.7	16.9	9.1	13.9
SAS	15.7	14.6	14.4	21.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	23	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-18	23	9.1	15.5	-6.42	21.3	14.9	6.38
Robert Horry	45	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-17	21	13.0	14.8	-1.80	17.2	15.9	1.30
Sam Cassell	39	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-9	5	12.6	14.9	-2.30	16.8	16.3	0.48
Rex Chapman	32	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.09	-6	-7	1	13.7	14.1	-0.42	14.4	17.6	-3.15
Mark Bryant	31	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.12	-9	-4	-5	14.1	13.9	0.24	14.4	17.6	-3.20
Danny Manning	53	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-9	5	13.1	15.0	-1.97	17.3	15.5	1.75
Wesley Person	36	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.08	-9	-4	-5	16.6	12.3	4.29	15.9	16.9	-0.99
A.C. Green	38	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-7	1	13.6	14.1	-0.51	18.1	15.4	2.67
Hot Rod Williams	57	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	0	-13	14.9	12.4	2.52	15.4	18.1	-2.67
Michael Finley	53	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	-5	-3	14.8	12.8	2.05	16.8	16.2	0.63
Kevin Johnson	63	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	2	-17	15.0	11.7	3.27	15.7	18.2	-2.60

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Elliott	78	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.03	20	-7	27	16.2	18.2	-2.01	14.2	12.7	1.51
Will Perdue	69	67	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.08	18	-5	23	16.6	16.3	0.25	14.0	13.9	0.12
Avery Johnson	87	86	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.03	19	-6	25	16.2	19.6	-3.38	14.3	10.0	4.30
Vinny Del Negro	52	52	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-2	17	16.3	16.8	-0.44	14.0	13.9	0.14
David Robinson	48	48	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	5	3	16.1	17.0	-0.85	15.6	12.2	3.49
Dominique Wilkins	63	63	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	13	-13	17.3	15.0	2.25	13.0	15.8	-2.84
Vernon Maxwell	43	42	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	15	-17	16.8	16.3	0.44	13.9	14.0	-0.14
Stephen Howard	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	21.0	16.4	4.57	1.0	14.1	-13.08
Greg Anderson	6	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	13	-13	10.8	16.9	-6.08	11.0	14.2	-3.17
Monty Williams	19	17	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	18	-23	17.6	16.2	1.38	13.3	14.1	-0.78
Cory Alexander	8	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	19	-25	19.6	16.2	3.38	10.0	14.3	-4.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 84, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
MIA 83, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
TOR 86, SAS 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%