NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	86		Excitement	4.3 [920]		MVP	Vinny Del Negro (SAS): +10.7%
San Antonio Spurs	97		Comeback	1.3 [1035]		LVP	John Wallace (TOR): -19.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dee Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Slater	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	13	54%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Shawn Respert	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	56%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	18	44%	-0.00	3	-0.06	3	67%	0.03
Oliver Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	-0.00	9	22%	-0.12	1	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05
John Wallace	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.06	0.03	13	31%	-0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.01	0.04	11	82%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	15	65%	0.11	5	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Willie Burton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	5	69%	0.07	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Reggie Geary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02	1	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	10	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	12	67%	-0.00
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.13	-0.00	-0.11	6	33%	0.01	4	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	10	32%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	26.2	15.8	23.4	2.4	27.2	120.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +34.4%

SAS +8.1%

SAS +9.6%

TOR -2.0%

TOR -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	SAS	NBA	TOR	SAS	NBA
this game	15.3	16.2	15.6	94.5	105.4	102.5
season	15.5	15.9		98.7	100.9
opponent	15.9	14.8		97.2	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.5	14.3	14.2	15.5	15.3
SAS	16.8	17.7	14.6	15.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Respert	12	12	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.16	7	-18	25	13.0	15.6	-2.63	12.1	16.8	-4.72
Reggie Slater	30	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-18	25	14.5	15.7	-1.12	15.6	16.5	-0.86
Tracy McGrady	37	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-14	17	13.9	16.2	-2.30	16.9	15.7	1.14
Dee Brown	54	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.14	2	-13	15	15.1	15.6	-0.47	15.0	17.9	-2.96
Marcus Camby	42	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	-3	-5	14.7	15.8	-1.02	15.2	17.0	-1.83
John Wallace	51	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-7	3	16.4	13.8	2.56	16.5	15.8	0.68
Oliver Miller	49	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.06	-16	5	-21	16.4	14.0	2.48	16.4	16.0	0.40
Gary Trent	54	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	3	-17	15.6	14.8	0.80	16.9	15.1	1.76
Chauncey Billups	60	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	5	-21	15.6	14.7	0.87	16.3	15.9	0.38
Doug Christie	66	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.06	-16	5	-21	15.1	15.9	-0.82	17.3	12.8	4.54

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Johnson	63	62	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.13	24	-13	37	16.5	15.4	1.13	15.1	15.7	-0.59
Vinny Del Negro	56	55	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.11	21	-10	31	16.8	15.3	1.49	15.3	15.3	-0.03
Will Perdue	57	57	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.04	15	-4	19	16.5	15.7	0.81	14.9	15.9	-0.95
Tim Duncan	72	70	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.02	13	-2	15	17.0	13.4	3.56	15.8	13.4	2.41
Monty Williams	49	49	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.03	12	-1	13	15.7	16.8	-1.09	16.7	13.7	3.01
Malik Rose	26	27	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	14	-17	16.2	16.2	0.01	14.8	15.5	-0.72
Carl Herrera	34	33	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	12	-13	14.3	17.3	-3.05	15.3	15.3	0.07
Jaren Jackson	62	61	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.24	-6	17	-23	16.0	16.7	-0.72	14.4	17.2	-2.81
Willie Burton	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	18	-25	16.1	16.2	-0.12	13.8	15.5	-1.67
Reggie Geary	29	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.31	-13	24	-37	15.4	16.5	-1.13	15.7	15.1	0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 84, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
CHH 90, WAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
OKC 85, PHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%