NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	103		Excitement	4.2 [999]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +17.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	110		Comeback	1.7 [1095]		LVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): -19.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.00	9	70%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.01	0.05	7	78%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.05	14	68%	0.06	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Mario Hezonja	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	10	65%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	0.00	0.09	3	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wes Iwundu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	3	71%	-0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	10	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.05	0.00	18	27%	-0.18	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.05	-0.01	15	65%	0.21	2	-0.03	10	60%	-0.03
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.02	0.04	14	65%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.04	10	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	1	125%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	36%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	11	64%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	54%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	54%	0.01	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.5	29.3	14.5	23.3	2.4	28.3	127.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +42.0%

MIL +4.6%

MIL +9.0%

ORL -6.8%

MIL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIL	NBA	ORL	MIL	NBA
this game	15.4	14.1	14.7	105.1	113.4	107.5
season	14.6	14.3		104.2	108.5
opponent	15.4	14.5		108.9	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.5	17.5	15.4	14.5	15.4
MIL	11.6	14.5	14.6	16.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arron Afflalo	22	23	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.26	9	-16	25	14.7	15.6	-0.94	14.4	14.0	0.41
Wes Iwundu	38	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.27	9	-16	25	15.3	15.5	-0.19	14.9	13.7	1.26
Shelvin Mack	30	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.33	10	-17	27	13.9	16.1	-2.22	16.3	13.2	3.04
Mario Hezonja	61	60	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.38	10	-17	27	15.2	15.7	-0.52	14.9	12.8	2.17
Marreese Speights	42	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.15	1	-8	9	16.0	15.0	0.99	15.7	13.0	2.70
Evan Fournier	54	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-4	1	15.4	15.4	-0.00	15.3	12.6	2.74
D.J. Augustin	34	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	5	-17	16.5	14.8	1.72	12.9	14.8	-1.89
Bismack Biyombo	56	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	1	-9	15.0	16.0	-0.99	13.0	15.7	-2.70
Jonathon Simmons	46	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.00	-14	7	-21	15.6	15.2	0.34	13.2	15.0	-1.81
Elfrid Payton	46	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.00	-14	7	-21	15.6	15.2	0.34	13.2	15.0	-1.81
Aaron Gordon	61	61	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.09	-23	16	-39	15.8	14.8	1.05	12.8	16.4	-3.56

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	67	67	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.07	22	-15	37	14.3	13.8	0.52	16.0	14.1	1.87
John Henson	60	61	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.15	22	-15	37	13.7	14.7	-0.98	16.3	14.0	2.26
Khris Middleton	74	74	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.02	16	-9	25	13.4	16.3	-2.86	15.8	14.2	1.64
Eric Bledsoe	57	57	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.07	19	-12	31	13.8	14.6	-0.85	15.2	15.6	-0.39
Malcolm Brogdon	77	74	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.16	20	-13	33	13.4	17.0	-3.69	16.1	13.1	3.02
Sterling Brown	40	42	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.31	-10	17	-27	14.6	13.8	0.85	15.4	15.4	-0.09
Tony Snell	33	35	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.39	-13	20	-33	15.0	13.7	1.33	13.9	16.2	-2.28
Thon Maker	37	37	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.44	-15	22	-37	14.7	13.7	0.98	14.0	16.3	-2.26
Sean Kilpatrick	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	17	-27	18.2	13.9	4.31	9.1	15.9	-6.75
D.J. Wilson	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	17	-27	18.2	13.9	4.31	9.1	15.9	-6.75
Matthew Dellavedova	28	29	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	13	-19	14.9	13.8	1.03	16.3	15.0	1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 83, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
HOU 91, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CHH 90, WAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%