NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	124		Excitement	6.9 [451]		MVP	Draymond Green (GSW): +26.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	117		Comeback	20.5 [105]		LVP	Marreese Speights (GSW): -4.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Draymond Green	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26	0.12	0.15	0.01	9	95%	0.34	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.14	0.05	12	69%	0.25	2	-0.04	12	83%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0.18	0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,0.13,0.18	0.12	0.10	0.04	22	71%	0.36	7	-0.17	12	100%	0.06
Harrison Barnes	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.09	0.04	15	70%	0.21	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.08	-0.02	4	100%	0.16	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	2	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Marreese Speights	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	-0.04	0.19	-0.05	16	44%	0.23	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.01	4	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	8	62%	0.02
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.1,0.04	0.04	0.20	-0.11	0.05	22	73%	0.09	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.03	0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.12	-0.03	20	59%	0.04	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.8	37.4	17.6	25.9	2.7	38.5	151.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +59.6%

GSW +10.6%

GSW +0.8%

LAC -21.9%

GSW +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	13.5	14.9	14.9	121.6	115.8	105.1
season	13.7	14.8		112.3	106.6
opponent	14.9	15.1		102.1	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.8	13.4	11.8	14.1	13.5
LAC	14.6	12.8	15.3	17.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	61	62	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.48	12	-5	17	14.6	11.9	2.69	14.9	14.9	-0.04
Draymond Green	62	63	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.47	7	0	7	13.1	14.1	-0.93	15.6	13.7	1.90
Harrison Barnes	75	74	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-3	13	13.8	12.8	1.00	15.1	14.2	0.89
Stephen Curry	81	81	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.20	12	-5	17	12.5	17.4	-4.87	14.9	14.9	-0.10
Klay Thompson	86	83	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.23	6	1	5	12.9	16.7	-3.84	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Ian Clark	9	10	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	1	5	17.4	13.1	4.32	15.7	14.8	0.92
Jason Thompson	6	5	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	3	1	8.7	13.8	-5.15	16.2	14.8	1.40
James Michael McAdoo	2	2	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	6	-5	10.5	13.6	-3.07	7.5	15.0	-7.52
Brandon Rush	12	12	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	12	-17	14.2	13.4	0.84	14.4	14.9	-0.52
Andrew Bogut	43	42	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.05	-5	12	-17	13.2	13.7	-0.48	15.3	14.5	0.79
Marreese Speights	26	25	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.03	-7	14	-21	15.3	12.9	2.46	14.2	15.1	-0.89
Festus Ezeli	47	46	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.08	-6	13	-19	14.0	13.1	0.99	13.8	15.7	-1.88

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	39	40	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.14	-2	-5	3	14.2	15.3	-1.13	14.1	13.1	0.97
Wesley Johnson	38	37	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-5	3	13.0	16.0	-3.04	13.0	13.8	-0.84
Austin Rivers	59	58	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-5	3	14.0	16.1	-2.10	13.0	14.2	-1.18
DeAndre Jordan	78	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.43	3	-10	13	15.5	12.7	2.87	14.4	10.4	3.97
Chris Paul	66	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.22	-6	-1	-5	15.3	14.1	1.20	13.0	14.6	-1.62
Paul Pierce	63	65	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	-2	-3	16.0	13.0	3.04	13.8	13.0	0.84
Jamal Crawford	82	84	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.31	-9	2	-11	14.6	15.9	-1.33	13.9	11.7	2.17
Blake Griffin	80	80	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.35	-12	5	-17	15.1	13.9	1.22	12.8	16.2	-3.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.57,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.85,0.66,0.68,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.74,0.72,0.9,0.27,0	92.6%
IND 85, WAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.42,0	90.6%
ATL 95, ORL 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.59,0.71,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.28,0	90.4%