NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	85		Excitement	6.8 [355]		MVP	Chris Singleton (WAS): +20.6%
Washington Wizards	83		Comeback	20.6 [114]		LVP	Darren Collison (IND): -20.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	12	55%	0.11	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.05
Dahntay Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	6	42%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.08	0.02	9	59%	0.19	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	55%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
David West	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.01	14	56%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Leandro Barbosa	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.05
George Hill	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	7	37%	-0.12	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.04

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Singleton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.11	0.02	10	76%	0.24	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.03	5	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.03	11	50%	0.12	3	-0.08	10	80%	0.03
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.04	-0.01	15	58%	0.10	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Edwin Ubiles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.14	-0.06	9	30%	-0.02	3	-0.18	2	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.6	27.3	15.8	29.2	2.3	32.4	134.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -13.1%

WAS -10.1%

IND +43.7%

IND +14.6%

IND +14.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	17.1	15.4	15.6	96.6	93.3	102.8
season	15.7	15.0		104.2	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.6		104.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.7	18.0	14.7	18.1	17.1
WAS	12.3	14.8	18.0	17.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	59	60	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.37	7	-5	12	16.5	18.3	-1.84	16.2	13.8	2.39
Darren Collison	62	64	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.44	4	-2	6	16.0	19.7	-3.61	15.6	14.9	0.72
Paul George	56	57	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.41	5	-3	8	16.4	18.4	-2.03	16.1	14.3	1.81
Danny Granger	64	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.55	-1	3	-4	16.5	18.6	-2.08	15.0	16.7	-1.74
David West	53	53	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	2	-2	17.5	16.6	0.85	15.7	15.0	0.74
Tyler Hansbrough	41	42	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	1	0	17.0	17.2	-0.21	14.8	16.0	-1.15
Dahntay Jones	24	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.11	3	-1	4	18.6	16.5	2.08	16.7	15.0	1.74
Lou Amundson	23	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	6	-10	18.1	16.8	1.32	13.8	16.0	-2.17
George Hill	32	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	5	-8	18.4	16.4	2.03	14.3	16.1	-1.81
Leandro Barbosa	26	25	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	4	-6	19.7	16.0	3.61	14.9	15.6	-0.72

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jan Vesely	26	25	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.03	6	-8	14	13.4	16.3	-2.85	18.6	16.5	2.13
Kevin Seraphin	36	35	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.01	4	-6	10	14.2	16.3	-2.04	17.9	16.6	1.38
Shelvin Mack	12	13	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.03	2	-4	6	15.2	15.5	-0.31	19.8	16.6	3.21
Edwin Ubiles	22	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	5	-12	16.8	15.0	1.83	17.3	17.1	0.23
Roger Mason Jr.	27	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	4	-10	16.6	15.0	1.60	17.2	17.1	0.10
Chris Singleton	67	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.36	5	-7	12	15.0	16.8	-1.83	17.1	17.3	-0.23
Jordan Crawford	62	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.59	4	-6	10	15.0	16.6	-1.60	17.1	17.2	-0.10
Trevor Booker	59	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	2	-6	16.0	14.3	1.77	16.9	17.6	-0.76
John Wall	77	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.48	-4	2	-6	15.5	15.2	0.31	16.6	19.8	-3.21
Nene	57	57	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.47	-10	8	-18	16.5	13.5	2.98	16.2	18.8	-2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.74,0.72,0.9,0.27,0	93.5%
ATL 95, ORL 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.59,0.71,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.28,0	92.3%
GSW 124, LAC 117	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.57,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.85,0.66,0.68,0.16,0	90.6%