NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	95		Excitement	6.6 [473]		MVP	DeShawn Stevenson (ORL): +14.0%
Orlando Magic	87		Comeback	15.9 [32]		LVP	Tyronn Lue (ORL): -33.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.01	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bob Sura	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.08	-0.05	-0.01	20	64%	0.13	2	-0.09	10	80%	0.02
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.05	0.01	15	52%	0.07	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Travis Hansen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mamadou N'diaye	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	0	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
Chris Crawford	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.04	-0.10	0.02	14	58%	0.08	1	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
Jason Collier	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Stephen Jackson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.15,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	18	46%	-0.04	3	-0.10	10	70%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	11	75%	0.21	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Dial	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Britton Johnsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reece Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	8	37%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	10	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,-0.12,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.11	-0.03	26	52%	0.01	5	-0.16	11	82%	0.02
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23,-0.34	-0.34	-0.12	-0.24	-0.03	15	33%	-0.17	2	-0.17	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	28.8	16.6	23.4	1.7	34.5	133.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +17.1%

ATL +21.9%

ATL +5.9%

ATL +1.9%

ATL +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	13.8	17.8	15.7	104.4	95.6	100.5
season	15.3	15.7		98.2	100.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		108.2	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.8	12.7	15.0	13.0	13.8
ORL	17.1	17.3	18.5	18.3	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	60	61	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.35	13	-5	18	12.6	16.1	-3.48	18.3	16.9	1.41
Bob Sura	82	82	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.22	15	-7	22	13.9	13.4	0.43	17.8	18.3	-0.58
Chris Crawford	63	63	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.11	17	-9	26	13.5	14.6	-1.17	17.9	17.6	0.30
Stephen Jackson	79	79	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.36	4	4	0	14.2	11.7	2.40	17.6	19.2	-1.56
Jason Terry	75	74	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.46	-2	10	-12	13.5	15.4	-1.94	17.4	19.6	-2.26
Travis Hansen	25	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.15	3	5	-2	14.7	13.5	1.22	19.2	17.3	1.93
Jason Collier	54	52	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.09	1	7	-6	15.1	12.0	3.14	17.2	18.6	-1.31
Mamadou N'diaye	17	18	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.07	-11	19	-30	13.8	13.8	-0.01	18.4	17.7	0.79

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	54	54	0.46	-0.96	1.42	-0.01	16	-24	40	18.1	17.3	0.82	15.3	11.7	3.55
Derrick Dial	4	4	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.12	-7	-1	-6	16.5	17.9	-1.37	10.2	14.0	-3.75
Reece Gaines	9	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.12	-8	0	-8	18.2	17.8	0.45	11.7	14.1	-2.41
Sean Rooks	14	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.20	-13	5	-18	17.4	17.9	-0.54	13.2	13.9	-0.73
Britton Johnsen	59	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.15	-2	-6	4	17.6	18.2	-0.58	13.2	14.8	-1.57
DeShawn Stevenson	75	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.41	6	-14	20	17.3	20.4	-3.11	14.1	12.6	1.47
Tyronn Lue	74	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-6	4	17.8	17.8	0.06	13.9	13.6	0.26
Juwan Howard	80	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.40	0	-8	8	17.8	17.9	-0.11	14.1	11.9	2.17
Keith Bogans	49	51	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.22	-13	5	-18	18.5	17.0	1.51	14.6	12.8	1.76
Drew Gooden	37	36	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.34	-17	9	-26	18.1	17.6	0.41	11.5	15.3	-3.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.59,0.71,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.74,0.72,0.9,0.27,0	93.0%
IND 85, WAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.42,0	92.3%
IND 106, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.55,0.16,0	91.7%