NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	106		Excitement	6.6 [518]		MVP	Jeff Teague (IND): +31.0%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	19.5 [55]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -38.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.31,0.31	0.16	0.19	0.04	6	96%	0.37	3	-0.06	11	100%	0.13
Paul George	0.23	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.25,0.23	0.06	0.19	0.02	15	67%	0.32	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.05	0.01	12	77%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18	0.10	0.08	0.00	9	80%	0.18	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.04
CJ Miles	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	8	47%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Kevin Seraphin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.12	-0.13	0.00	6	15%	-0.10	3	-0.14	1	0%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.09	-0.03	8	56%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.02	6	73%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.03	13	75%	0.12	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	61%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.17,-0.34,-0.38	-0.38	-0.16	-0.27	-0.05	19	48%	-0.02	9	-0.36	14	71%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	27.4	15.6	28.5	2.5	38.4	139.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +29.9%

IND +8.6%

SAC -9.3%

IND +21.7%

SAC -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAC	NBA	IND	SAC	NBA
this game	14.2	16.3	14.8	111.6	106.4	107.7
season	14.9	15.4		107.5	106.0
opponent	14.6	14.8		110.0	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.2	18.0	11.3	14.9	14.2
SAC	15.1	15.5	18.7	15.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	58	56	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.31	17	-11	28	14.1	14.4	-0.32	15.9	16.8	-0.82
CJ Miles	38	37	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.11	23	-17	40	15.5	13.4	2.11	18.2	15.0	3.24
Paul George	83	82	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.35	5	1	4	13.9	16.2	-2.33	16.2	16.8	-0.64
Jeff Teague	69	68	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	2	2	13.6	15.9	-2.30	16.2	16.5	-0.31
Myles Turner	71	71	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	3	0	13.0	17.7	-4.62	15.9	17.3	-1.42
Thaddeus Young	52	50	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.09	-1	7	-8	13.6	15.0	-1.40	15.5	17.1	-1.57
Aaron Brooks	26	26	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	4	-2	15.9	13.6	2.30	16.5	16.2	0.31
Al Jefferson	29	29	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.00	-2	8	-10	17.6	12.7	4.91	16.8	16.0	0.75
Kevin Seraphin	12	13	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.09	-10	16	-26	13.7	14.3	-0.62	14.8	16.5	-1.75
Glenn Robinson	37	38	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.02	-11	17	-28	14.4	14.1	0.32	16.8	15.9	0.82

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	57	56	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.09	9	-15	24	16.6	15.7	0.95	13.5	15.2	-1.73
Kosta Koufos	48	49	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.05	5	-11	16	16.5	16.0	0.50	13.3	15.2	-1.95
Willie Cauley-Stein	10	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-5	4	17.5	16.1	1.37	16.9	13.9	3.05
Ben McLemore	8	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.08	-5	-1	-4	18.2	16.1	2.16	20.0	13.7	6.25
Anthony Tolliver	41	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.20	-9	3	-12	17.7	15.2	2.49	15.1	13.6	1.49
DeMarcus Cousins	76	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.45	4	-10	14	15.7	18.6	-2.82	14.5	13.2	1.32
Darren Collison	76	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.45	2	-8	10	15.7	18.7	-3.02	13.0	19.8	-6.84
Arron Afflalo	61	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.41	-4	-2	-2	16.1	16.6	-0.46	14.6	13.6	0.97
Garrett Temple	56	59	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.32	-16	10	-26	16.2	16.3	-0.11	14.1	14.3	-0.20
Matt Barnes	37	39	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.41	-15	9	-24	15.7	16.6	-0.95	15.2	13.5	1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.55,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 82, HOU 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.55,0.27,0	93.5%
TOR 99, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.57,0.08,0	93.4%
MIA 98, TOR 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.54,0.65,0.27,0	92.2%