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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 97 Excitement8.2 [225] MVPAndrew DeClercq (ORL): +20.4%
New Orleans Hornets 95 Comeback18.2 [31] LVPBaron Davis (NOH): -30.0%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrew DeClercq0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.20.050.15-0.00967%0.251-0.0400%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.110.050.060.01788%0.223-0.11367%-0.01
Jacque Vaughn0.020,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01475%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Gordan Giricek0.010,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,0.01,0.01-0.020.040.021550%0.021-0.02667%-0.03
Steven Hunter-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.01-0.01233%-0.0000.0020%-0.02
Chris Whitney-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.00350%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Shawn Kemp-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.110.00-0.0470%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Pat Garrity-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.0130%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Jeryl Sasser-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.0220%-0.041-0.0420%-0.02
Tracy McGrady-0.230,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.230.01-0.230.012858%-0.074-0.161567%-0.12

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.010.01480%0.0400.002100%0.01
George Lynch0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01383%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jamal Mashburn0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.21,00.000.13-0.14-0.022765%0.063-0.06887%0.03
Jerome Moiso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00560%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Courtney Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.07-0.02550%-0.071-0.026100%0.02
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.14-0.01-0.05617%-0.034-0.0800%0.00
Kenny Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22-0.22-0.04-0.170.01633%-0.2200.003100%0.01
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.24-0.24-0.05-0.180.001050%-0.163-0.07250%-0.01
Baron Davis0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.3,-0.3-0.30-0.18-0.17-0.041728%-0.123-0.182100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.12.526.415.727.02.733.4130.7
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +101.3%
NOH -29.2%
NOH -24.3%
ORL +0.1%
ORL +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLNOHNBAORLNOHNBA
this game14.417.915.5106.6108.0101.6
season14.615.9102.7101.6
opponent15.615.899.6103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.014.614.813.314.4
NOH17.918.120.515.517.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Armstrong45440.68-0.180.860.545-3814.414.30.1215.919.8-3.89
Andrew DeClercq62590.65-0.150.810.486-41014.414.30.0617.019.6-2.53
Gordan Giricek77750.53-0.030.550.5302-214.016.4-2.3318.116.61.45
Tracy McGrady77750.430.070.360.4302-214.513.60.8818.116.51.63
Pat Garrity71690.280.220.060.2511014.414.4-0.0818.515.43.10
Jeryl Sasser15130.270.230.040.2120212.714.7-1.9816.518.1-1.63
Steven Hunter16150.060.44-0.390.0602-215.414.21.2017.318.0-0.71
Chris Whitney2626-0.090.59-0.67-0.1211015.114.11.0219.017.41.68
Jacque Vaughn3431-0.120.62-0.74-0.06-24-614.614.30.2819.117.21.92
Shawn Kemp3233-0.190.69-0.88-0.10-35-814.314.4-0.0618.217.60.58

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamaal Magloire39400.09-0.590.68-0.065-71219.516.62.9414.414.40.03
Jerome Moiso25250.03-0.530.560.18-53-818.317.70.6014.514.30.19
George Lynch4345-0.05-0.450.40-0.050-2218.017.70.2914.314.4-0.10
Courtney Alexander4040-0.15-0.350.21-0.09-20-217.718.0-0.2813.615.0-1.36
P.J. Brown6468-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.505-71218.715.73.0114.613.61.04
Robert Traylor3839-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.29-31-415.319.8-4.5114.814.10.67
Baron Davis7274-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.34-53-817.917.80.0514.414.20.18
Jamal Mashburn7680-0.540.04-0.57-0.45-31-418.613.05.6214.314.7-0.39
Kenny Anderson4344-0.660.16-0.82-0.60-20-215.819.8-4.0314.314.4-0.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.74,0.72,0.9,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 85, WAS 830.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.42,093.5%
ATL 95, ORL 870.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.59,0.71,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.28,093.0%
GSW 124, LAC 1170.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.57,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.85,0.66,0.68,0.16,092.6%