NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	97		Excitement	7.8 [296]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (CHA): +20.2%
Chicago Bulls	102		Comeback	2.4 [685]		LVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): -20.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.2	0.17	0.02	-0.01	17	76%	0.29	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Troy Daniels	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
PJ Hairston	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	14	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0	0.07	-0.05	0.01	11	61%	0.05	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	9	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18	-0.11	-0.06	0.02	18	34%	-0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	6	92%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.09	0.01	13	61%	0.18	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.00	10	60%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.01	16	59%	0.26	4	-0.14	14	79%	0.04
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	7	21%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.08	-0.00	14	33%	-0.08	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	28.5	15.4	26.5	1.7	31.8	128.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +21.9%

CHI +16.6%

CHI +18.0%

CHA -9.3%

CHI +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CHI	NBA	CHA	CHI	NBA
this game	15.8	13.8	14.9	100.0	104.1	105.1
season	15.1	14.8		105.5	103.7
opponent	14.9	14.8		105.1	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.1	15.8	16.2	17.3	15.8
CHI	13.1	12.4	15.1	14.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Hairston	32	32	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.04	3	-8	11	15.2	16.0	-0.81	13.0	14.2	-1.21
Al Jefferson	64	62	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.26	10	-15	25	15.9	15.5	0.47	13.5	14.4	-0.91
Troy Daniels	4	4	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-6	7	16.2	15.7	0.51	11.2	13.9	-2.64
Kemba Walker	74	75	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.26	9	-14	23	15.5	16.6	-1.05	13.9	13.5	0.40
Nicolas Batum	73	71	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.25	6	-11	17	15.9	15.4	0.52	13.1	15.7	-2.65
Frank Kaminsky	37	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.18	-5	0	-5	16.4	15.3	1.08	14.9	13.0	1.93
Jeremy Lin	32	34	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	10	-25	15.5	15.9	-0.44	14.9	13.2	1.63
Spencer Hawes	33	36	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	10	-25	15.5	15.9	-0.47	14.4	13.5	0.91
Marvin Williams	72	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.35	-7	2	-9	15.8	15.7	0.06	13.5	14.7	-1.23
Jeremy Lamb	64	65	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.34	-12	7	-19	15.9	15.5	0.38	14.1	13.1	1.05

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
E'Twaun Moore	46	45	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.38	10	-5	15	13.5	14.1	-0.58	16.4	15.2	1.23
Joakim Noah	45	41	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.26	12	-7	19	14.6	13.1	1.51	17.0	14.8	2.23
Taj Gibson	47	44	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.18	12	-7	19	14.8	12.9	1.92	15.8	15.7	0.10
Tony Snell	34	31	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-6	17	15.3	13.0	2.26	16.6	15.4	1.25
Derrick Rose	71	71	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.40	-2	7	-9	13.5	14.5	-1.01	15.8	15.7	0.04
Kirk Hinrich	18	19	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	1	3	12.1	14.2	-2.12	16.5	15.6	0.88
Aaron Brooks	11	10	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	5	-5	19.0	13.1	5.87	16.1	15.7	0.38
Jimmy Butler	77	78	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	9	-13	13.7	14.0	-0.27	15.4	17.4	-2.06
Pau Gasol	56	59	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.17	-8	13	-21	13.4	14.4	-1.00	15.4	16.3	-0.91
Nikola Mirotic	48	50	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.08	-6	11	-17	12.5	15.0	-2.44	15.1	16.5	-1.41
Doug McDermott	37	37	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	9	-13	12.8	14.4	-1.65	14.6	16.5	-1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.29,0.42,0.52,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 104, DAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.95,0.85,0.94,0.85,1	93.2%
BKN 111, CHA 116	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.75,0.96,0.89,0.91,1	92.5%
MIL 80, CHH 94	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.73,0.75,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.3%