NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	80		Excitement	6.3 [515]		MVP	David Wesley (CHH): +22.6%
Charlotte Hornets	94		Comeback	2.1 [539]		LVP	Jerald Honeycutt (MIL): -17.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elliot Perry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.07	0.02	16	53%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Lang	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Pierce	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Litterial Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ervin Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	8	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Armen Gilliam	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	17	35%	-0.08	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.04
Ray Allen	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	19	45%	-0.01	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.02
Jerald Honeycutt	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.11	-0.03	16	43%	-0.05	3	-0.12	3	67%	-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.12	0.01	16	66%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.10	0.02	14	69%	0.20	1	-0.03	11	73%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	9	78%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	10	43%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	13	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	6	37%	-0.07	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.6	24.6	14.6	24.5	1.8	25.4	113.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +39.6%

MIL -0.4%

MIL -8.2%

CHH +24.6%

MIL -5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHH	NBA	MIL	CHH	NBA
this game	18.2	13.5	15.6	88.9	102.2	102.5
season	16.0	15.7		101.1	104.0
opponent	15.9	15.1		102.6	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.1	18.9	19.5	17.4	18.2
CHH	15.0	12.4	14.8	12.1	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	73	74	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	18.6	16.4	2.26	14.6	9.0	5.61
Litterial Green	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-9	4	18.0	18.2	-0.22	10.8	13.9	-3.08
Armen Gilliam	74	76	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-13	12	17.8	20.1	-2.35	13.7	12.6	1.07
Michael Curry	58	59	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-17	20	18.1	18.4	-0.39	14.0	12.7	1.27
Ricky Pierce	12	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-10	6	22.8	17.5	5.36	13.6	13.5	0.14
Elliot Perry	70	73	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-9	4	17.4	20.9	-3.49	13.4	14.1	-0.75
Andrew Lang	4	5	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-6	-2	19.5	18.1	1.37	14.0	13.5	0.52
Jamie Feick	20	20	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	0	-14	19.5	17.8	1.69	11.8	14.0	-2.19
Ray Allen	72	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.16	-15	1	-16	17.9	19.5	-1.64	13.8	12.3	1.57
Jerald Honeycutt	56	57	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.04	-21	7	-28	18.2	18.2	0.02	12.2	15.6	-3.33

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	58	57	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.05	21	-7	28	12.0	16.0	-3.99	17.9	18.6	-0.66
Anthony Mason	74	73	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	2	10	13.9	12.1	1.74	18.2	18.3	-0.13
Bobby Phills	72	71	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.10	11	3	8	13.8	12.4	1.42	18.1	18.6	-0.49
Glen Rice	77	76	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	5	4	13.9	11.4	2.52	18.4	17.3	1.07
David Wesley	65	63	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	7	0	14.6	10.9	3.76	18.5	17.4	1.12
B.J. Armstrong	27	27	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.09	7	7	0	10.9	14.6	-3.76	17.4	18.5	-1.12
Dell Curry	20	19	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	11	-8	12.4	13.8	-1.42	18.6	18.1	0.49
J.R. Reid	18	17	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	12	-10	12.1	13.9	-1.74	18.3	18.2	0.13
Matt Geiger	49	47	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	16	-18	14.6	12.3	2.36	18.2	18.2	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.73,0.75,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 99, DET 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.7,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.6%
SAC 104, DAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.95,0.85,0.94,0.85,1	92.5%
NYK 106, PHX 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.78,0.89,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%