NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	99		Excitement	5.7 [663]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +13.1%
Detroit Pistons	108		Comeback	1.8 [780]		LVP	Ben Wallace (DET): -22.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	17	66%	0.15	4	-0.09	7	100%	0.04
Corey Maggette	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	61%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	10	67%	0.07	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	6	71%	0.07	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	19	47%	-0.03	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	19	65%	0.18	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	10	70%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	13	63%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.01	12	58%	0.07	1	-0.01	12	92%	0.04
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	0.00	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.25	-0.04	-0.06	8	19%	-0.16	3	-0.07	10	30%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.3	30.5	16.4	24.6	2.4	36.5	141.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +22.2%

LAC -7.6%

LAC -1.2%

DET +35.4%

DET +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DET	NBA	LAC	DET	NBA
this game	15.5	14.3	15.7	103.1	111.3	100.5
season	15.5	16.2		101.3	99.2
opponent	16.0	15.4		92.6	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.3	14.2	18.4	14.8	15.5
DET	15.3	13.0	15.9	13.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	68	69	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-13	17	15.1	16.4	-1.28	14.8	13.1	1.72
Corey Maggette	20	21	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-9	9	15.9	15.4	0.48	15.5	14.0	1.46
Melvin Ely	10	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.16	4	-13	17	13.9	15.7	-1.81	14.8	14.3	0.52
Randy Livingston	14	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-7	5	15.1	15.6	-0.44	12.2	14.7	-2.42
Keyon Dooling	85	85	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-8	7	15.7	13.9	1.82	14.5	13.3	1.14
Doug Overton	66	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-7	5	16.0	14.4	1.58	15.2	12.5	2.71
Matt Barnes	70	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-3	-3	14.3	18.9	-4.67	13.5	16.5	-2.98
Elton Brand	84	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	2	-13	16.3	9.9	6.40	14.5	13.2	1.27
Predrag Drobnjak	30	31	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.11	-15	6	-21	14.7	15.9	-1.24	12.6	15.1	-2.52
Eddie House	33	36	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.11	-16	7	-23	16.6	15.0	1.65	14.1	14.5	-0.35

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	46	44	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-3	15	13.5	15.1	-1.54	15.2	15.7	-0.50
Richard Hamilton	82	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.11	15	-6	21	14.2	14.9	-0.71	15.0	18.0	-2.97
Corliss Williamson	32	32	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-2	13	13.7	14.6	-0.91	16.7	14.9	1.75
Mehmet Okur	71	69	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.02	13	-4	17	14.5	13.7	0.82	15.5	15.5	0.05
Mike James	30	30	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	7	-5	13.7	14.6	-0.91	16.5	15.1	1.47
Elden Campbell	16	17	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	9	-9	12.5	14.7	-2.19	14.6	15.7	-1.06
Ben Wallace	69	68	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	7	-5	14.9	13.0	1.87	15.7	15.1	0.58
Chauncey Billups	64	66	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	15.0	13.1	1.88	15.7	15.2	0.47
Darvin Ham	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	13.7	14.4	-0.68	9.7	15.7	-6.04
Darko Milicic	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	13.7	14.4	-0.68	9.7	15.7	-6.04
Tayshaun Prince	69	68	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	10	-11	14.7	13.5	1.22	15.7	15.1	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.7,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 74, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
LAC 98, UTA 111	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.46,0.66,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.5%
DAL 105, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%