NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	98		Excitement	5.9 [610]		MVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): +38.2%
Utah Jazz	111		Comeback	3.1 [686]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -14.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	13	64%	0.11	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	12	66%	0.13	2	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Rasual Butler	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	70%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	-0.00	0.06	15	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	9	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Al Thornton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	10	39%	-0.02	2	-0.03	11	73%	0.04
Craig Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	7	47%	0.04	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.19	0.20	0.01	12	79%	0.38	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.07	0.00	11	71%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	6	83%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	45%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.00	19	49%	0.03	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	47%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	7	28%	-0.07	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.05	0.02	22	43%	-0.05	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	1.5	30.6	15.8	25.0	2.0	33.0	136.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +21.5%

UTA +1.0%

UTA +27.0%

LAC -1.0%

UTA +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	13.9	16.0	15.3	101.0	115.6	106.0
season	15.5	15.3		101.9	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.2		104.5	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.9	13.8	15.5	13.5	13.9
UTA	14.8	15.0	16.5	17.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	85	82	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-6	-1	13.6	15.8	-2.23	16.4	13.8	2.57
Marcus Camby	60	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.10	-10	-3	-7	14.4	13.0	1.42	15.6	16.5	-0.88
Baron Davis	72	70	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	-4	-5	14.0	13.6	0.37	15.7	16.8	-1.14
Rasual Butler	36	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-9	5	13.9	13.8	0.11	15.8	16.1	-0.33
Craig Smith	34	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-12	11	12.4	14.7	-2.30	16.3	15.8	0.45
Al Thornton	74	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	-1	-11	14.0	13.6	0.35	15.6	17.1	-1.50
Eric Gordon	80	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.08	-9	-4	-5	13.7	14.8	-1.15	16.4	14.2	2.12
DeAndre Jordan	15	17	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-5	-3	16.7	13.4	3.30	14.8	16.2	-1.48
Sebastian Telfair	29	30	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-8	3	13.9	13.9	0.03	16.8	15.6	1.19

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	50	51	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.15	19	-6	25	16.3	15.6	0.75	13.5	14.3	-0.86
Ronnie Brewer	71	71	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-2	17	15.2	18.3	-3.11	14.2	13.0	1.14
Andrei Kirilenko	85	86	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.07	14	-1	15	15.8	17.3	-1.46	14.1	12.1	2.01
Ronnie Price	34	35	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	6	1	17.9	14.9	2.95	12.9	14.4	-1.55
Deron Williams	75	77	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	-1	15	15.8	16.5	-0.64	14.4	11.9	2.49
Kyrylo Fesenko	38	39	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	9	-5	16.7	15.5	1.21	14.4	13.5	0.89
Carlos Boozer	84	83	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	3	7	15.7	17.8	-2.12	14.0	13.0	1.02
Kosta Koufos	26	27	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	17	-21	15.2	16.3	-1.08	13.5	14.0	-0.55
Wesley Matthews	5	5	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	17	-21	18.2	15.9	2.34	9.6	14.1	-4.51
Eric Maynor	12	11	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.06	-10	23	-33	16.2	15.9	0.31	11.5	14.2	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.46,0.66,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 99, DET 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.7,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.5%
UTA 83, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.97,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%
MEM 84, DAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.32,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.98,1,0.99,1	92.4%