NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	84		Excitement	6.3 [574]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +17.7%
Dallas Mavericks	89		Comeback	2.4 [846]		LVP	Anthony Johnson (DAL): -17.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.09	0.02	15	62%	0.21	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.02
Lawrence Roberts	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	5	58%	0.06	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	62%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Chucky Atkins	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.03	15	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Damon Stoudamire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Mike Miller	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	10	36%	-0.04	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.06	13	20%	-0.12	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.06	-0.03	13	66%	0.20	2	-0.03	3	0%	-0.05
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.00	5	80%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	6	71%	0.14	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	5	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Ager	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	71%	0.05	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	15	60%	0.11	5	-0.15	10	100%	0.05
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.0	1.8	33.2	16.3	25.1	1.8	34.6	144.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +71.9%

MEM -11.8%

DAL +15.5%

MEM -20.9%

MEM -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DAL	NBA	MEM	DAL	NBA
this game	16.9	15.3	15.4	95.5	97.8	104.5
season	15.1	16.3		105.1	108.7
opponent	15.2	15.1		102.3	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.8	17.9	16.6	15.2	16.9
DAL	14.3	14.9	15.4	16.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	30	31	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.00	4	-9	13	17.5	16.6	0.90	15.8	15.1	0.77
Brian Cardinal	8	9	0.04	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-7	9	19.7	16.6	3.16	15.7	15.3	0.37
Rudy Gay	66	68	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.21	6	-11	17	16.4	18.2	-1.74	15.7	14.1	1.66
Mike Miller	59	60	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.17	4	-9	13	16.2	18.3	-2.09	15.5	15.0	0.50
Jake Tsakalidis	6	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-2	-1	20.2	16.6	3.53	15.5	15.3	0.18
Kyle Lowry	34	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.20	-1	-4	3	17.9	16.2	1.74	15.2	15.4	-0.25
Dahntay Jones	22	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-2	-1	17.7	16.6	1.14	14.7	15.5	-0.79
Chucky Atkins	67	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-6	7	15.7	20.5	-4.79	15.5	14.7	0.79
Lawrence Roberts	52	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.35	-6	1	-7	16.2	17.9	-1.76	15.0	15.8	-0.77
Damon Stoudamire	40	42	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	8	-21	17.8	16.1	1.70	15.8	14.9	0.89
Hakim Warrick	56	56	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.18	-16	11	-27	17.4	15.9	1.52	14.3	16.9	-2.62

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	37	35	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	-3	11	14.5	15.9	-1.38	16.8	16.9	-0.17
Anthony Johnson	45	44	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.01	14	-9	23	14.1	16.5	-2.41	17.9	15.8	2.07
Jason Terry	78	76	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.40	0	5	-5	15.7	13.3	2.36	16.8	17.5	-0.72
Austin Croshere	21	21	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.22	6	-1	7	14.6	15.5	-0.92	16.5	17.0	-0.46
DeSagana Diop	39	36	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	-2	9	14.4	16.0	-1.61	16.4	17.2	-0.73
Devin Harris	41	40	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.30	-4	9	-13	16.5	14.4	2.06	16.1	17.5	-1.38
Erick Dampier	50	50	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	6	-7	16.2	14.2	2.02	17.4	16.2	1.17
Dirk Nowitzki	67	65	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	4	-3	15.3	15.5	-0.23	17.2	15.9	1.36
Jose Juan Barea	1	1	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	5	-5	4.0	15.5	-11.46	17.0	16.9	0.13
Maurice Ager	19	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	6	-7	14.7	15.5	-0.82	15.9	17.1	-1.24
Devean George	57	54	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	10	-15	16.1	14.0	2.12	16.6	17.2	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.32,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.98,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 76, LAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.2%
PHX 115, LAL 122	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.2%
SEA 100, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.7,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.0%