NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	106		Excitement	6.7 [503]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +18.4%
Phoenix Suns	114		Comeback	1.8 [814]		LVP	Tim Thomas (NYK): -16.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.14	-0.00	0.07	21	69%	0.11	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	11	55%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	16	47%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamison Brewer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	12	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	14	37%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.01	17	62%	0.22	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	7	81%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	20	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	13	92%	0.07
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	18	58%	0.05	2	-0.01	9	78%	-0.02
Steven Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	9	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	12	25%	-0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	26.0	14.8	21.2	2.5	35.3	127.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +41.8%

PHX +11.4%

NYK -6.2%

PHX +0.2%

PHX +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHX	NBA	NYK	PHX	NBA
this game	16.4	12.2	15.5	106.0	112.9	104.0
season	15.8	13.5		103.9	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.3		106.2	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.8	16.9	17.3	15.7	16.4
PHX	11.4	13.1	12.0	12.6	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	38	37	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.00	5	-13	18	16.8	16.2	0.66	11.6	12.6	-1.03
Jamison Brewer	14	14	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-11	14	16.1	16.5	-0.42	13.8	12.0	1.79
Kurt Thomas	77	78	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-8	8	16.1	17.4	-1.25	12.1	12.7	-0.52
Trevor Ariza	44	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-6	4	15.9	16.9	-1.01	12.2	12.2	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	66	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	0	-8	17.0	15.3	1.72	12.1	12.5	-0.41
Stephon Marbury	78	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-1	-6	16.4	16.6	-0.21	11.9	13.3	-1.42
Tim Thomas	63	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-5	2	16.2	16.8	-0.65	12.3	12.2	0.10
Jerome Williams	33	33	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.19	-7	-1	-6	17.6	15.9	1.71	12.5	12.1	0.40
Michael Sweetney	39	41	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	4	-16	16.5	16.4	0.18	12.9	11.8	1.14
Anfernee Hardaway	48	50	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.34	-9	1	-10	15.9	16.9	-1.03	12.4	12.1	0.30

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	87	86	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-2	12	12.0	13.7	-1.70	16.4	16.7	-0.33
Jim Jackson	53	52	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	1	6	12.5	12.0	0.43	15.7	17.2	-1.42
Amar'e Stoudemire	77	79	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.15	5	3	2	12.0	13.0	-0.93	16.4	16.7	-0.36
Quentin Richardson	67	67	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	0	8	12.1	12.6	-0.47	16.8	15.6	1.18
Steve Nash	77	77	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	6	-4	12.4	11.7	0.65	16.6	15.7	0.95
Steven Hunter	32	29	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	3	2	12.0	12.4	-0.41	16.3	16.5	-0.22
Shawn Marion	87	86	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	6	-4	12.4	11.2	1.20	16.5	16.2	0.25
Leandro Barbosa	25	24	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	7	-6	13.0	12.0	1.05	16.6	16.4	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.78,0.89,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 92, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
CLE 86, PHX 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.96,0.94,1,1	93.2%
NYK 76, IND 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.95,1,1,1,1	92.9%