NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	76		Excitement	6.0 [588]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +12.2%
Indiana Pacers	81		Comeback	2.0 [706]		LVP	David West (IND): -17.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.04	0.02	10	52%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Copeland	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.03	-0.01	9	40%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	11	37%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	10	40%	0.00	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.06	0.05	29	40%	-0.11	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.01	24	48%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.04	0.03	7	87%	0.11	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	64%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	8	44%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	8	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	6	46%	-0.02	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	11	27%	-0.08	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	3.3	31.3	18.7	27.2	3.7	29.0	141.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +52.9%

NYK -6.4%

NYK -11.4%

IND +11.1%

IND +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	17.3	16.0	15.4	88.4	93.1	104.1
season	16.2	16.1		107.9	102.4
opponent	15.5	15.5		99.0	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.5	17.9	16.3	17.5	17.3
IND	15.3	16.4	15.1	17.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	30	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-7	9	17.4	17.2	0.15	15.3	16.4	-1.09
Ronnie Brewer	13	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-4	3	19.9	16.8	3.13	16.6	15.9	0.64
Pablo Prigioni	37	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.23	5	-10	15	16.9	17.5	-0.56	14.1	17.6	-3.46
Marcus Camby	34	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-1	-3	18.5	16.5	2.04	16.3	15.9	0.37
Chris Copeland	40	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	3	-11	16.8	17.6	-0.78	14.9	17.1	-2.14
Amar'e Stoudemire	38	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-5	5	16.3	18.1	-1.80	16.5	15.7	0.78
Steve Novak	43	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.20	-6	1	-7	17.7	16.9	0.77	16.7	15.4	1.22
Jason Kidd	53	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	0	-5	17.4	17.1	0.29	17.6	13.7	3.93
J.R. Smith	73	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-1	-3	16.8	19.9	-3.13	15.9	16.6	-0.64
Tyson Chandler	69	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	-1	-3	17.3	17.3	-0.03	16.2	15.5	0.63

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	60	59	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.42	10	-5	15	16.8	14.3	2.57	17.5	16.7	0.77
Ian Mahinmi	35	32	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.35	8	-3	11	18.7	14.2	4.53	17.7	17.0	0.77
Tyler Hansbrough	25	27	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.14	13	-8	21	14.8	16.5	-1.79	16.6	17.6	-0.93
Gerald Green	32	33	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-8	21	13.9	17.3	-3.32	16.5	17.7	-1.22
Paul George	79	78	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	1	3	16.1	15.2	0.86	17.2	18.1	-0.95
Lance Stephenson	63	61	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.24	-7	12	-19	17.0	13.5	3.50	17.8	16.0	1.79
Jeff Ayres	15	16	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	5	-5	15.3	16.2	-0.85	19.1	16.9	2.21
David West	62	59	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.21	-8	13	-21	16.5	14.8	1.79	17.6	16.6	0.93
Roy Hibbert	37	38	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	8	-11	13.8	17.7	-3.96	16.1	18.2	-2.08
D.J. Augustin	27	27	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	10	-15	14.3	16.8	-2.57	16.7	17.5	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.95,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 101, NYK 115	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.74,0.91,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1	94.1%
DEN 118, MEM 133	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.57,0.72,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
ATL 92, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%