NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	111		Excitement	7.4 [374]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (CHA): +22.4%
Charlotte Hornets	116		Comeback	2.0 [817]		LVP	Jeremy Lin (CHA): -11.5%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.17	0.16	0.02	0.02	17	67%	0.17	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shane Larkin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.03	12	62%	0.10	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	19	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Thomas Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06	0.03	-0.06	0.02	13	57%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Markel Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.12	0.01	12	77%	0.31	4	-0.08	7	100%	0.06
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	7	86%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	6	79%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.02	0.02	9	64%	0.10	2	-0.05	10	50%	-0.09
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	9	64%	0.08	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	0.02	16	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.04
Cody Zeller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.00	-0.00	13	43%	0.04	5	-0.15	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	0.2	26.2	15.3	26.5	2.3	38.4	133.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +36.2%

CHA +16.6%

CHA +13.3%

BKN -16.4%

CHA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	CHA	NBA	BKN	CHA	NBA
this game	14.0	14.1	14.9	107.8	113.7	105.1
season	15.0	15.1		101.9	105.5
opponent	14.8	14.8		103.6	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.1	13.1	14.4	13.6	14.0
CHA	14.9	15.2	14.4	12.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markel Brown	11	9	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.08	6	-11	17	12.9	14.1	-1.23	17.1	13.8	3.32
Bojan Bogdanovic	36	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.08	-4	-1	-3	14.7	13.6	1.10	14.7	13.7	1.02
Brook Lopez	74	74	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.24	6	-11	17	14.4	13.1	1.26	14.0	14.3	-0.27
Jarrett Jack	72	72	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-9	13	13.8	14.4	-0.59	14.0	14.3	-0.25
Thomas Robinson	20	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-4	3	13.3	14.2	-0.82	14.8	13.9	0.89
Thaddeus Young	73	72	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.25	3	-8	11	13.5	15.2	-1.63	13.8	14.7	-0.87
Joe Johnson	78	78	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.30	4	-9	13	13.8	14.7	-0.89	14.2	13.9	0.28
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	53	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	3	-11	14.4	13.6	0.87	13.8	14.4	-0.61
Andrea Bargnani	24	24	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	9	-23	15.1	13.7	1.45	14.0	14.1	-0.12
Shane Larkin	41	40	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	3	-11	14.9	13.5	1.40	14.6	13.8	0.80
Wayne Ellington	33	33	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.23	-13	8	-21	12.6	14.7	-2.07	12.8	14.7	-1.92

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lin	62	63	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.39	8	-3	11	13.9	14.4	-0.47	13.8	14.3	-0.52
Nicolas Batum	87	87	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	1	3	13.8	15.6	-1.77	14.1	13.7	0.38
Marvin Williams	78	79	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	1	3	13.9	14.7	-0.76	13.9	14.5	-0.64
Spencer Hawes	36	37	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.03	13	-8	21	14.7	13.7	0.98	13.9	14.1	-0.14
Jeremy Lamb	43	45	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	-1	7	14.8	13.6	1.21	14.4	13.7	0.61
Kemba Walker	64	63	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	7	-9	13.5	15.1	-1.54	13.9	14.2	-0.35
Frank Kaminsky	45	46	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	0	5	15.2	13.2	1.95	14.4	13.7	0.65
Al Jefferson	62	64	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.23	-7	12	-19	14.4	13.6	0.84	14.4	13.4	0.92
Cody Zeller	33	31	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.17	-6	11	-17	12.9	14.6	-1.70	13.3	14.3	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.75,0.96,0.89,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 88, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,1	92.7%
CHA 97, CHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.29,0.42,0.52,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.84,1	92.5%
MIN 94, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.9,0.99,1,1	92.4%