NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	98		Excitement	7.2 [415]		MVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): +26.8%
Chicago Bulls	104		Comeback	2.0 [589]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -9.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	29	52%	0.14	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.03
Dion Waiters	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	14	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Andre Roberson	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	58%	0.06	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.05
D.J. Augustin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.02	-0.10	-0.02	18	48%	-0.03	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.15,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.03	0.22	-0.01	25	52%	0.33	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.03
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.00	5	82%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	5	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.01	0.01	20	57%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	8	56%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.00	12	39%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.4	28.3	17.4	23.0	3.0	31.2	131.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +31.6%

OKC -0.9%

CHI +6.3%

CHI +13.0%

OKC -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	CHI	NBA	OKC	CHI	NBA
this game	15.6	15.6	14.9	106.5	111.8	105.1
season	14.4	14.8		111.5	103.7
opponent	14.9	15.1		105.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.0	15.6	14.8	18.5	15.6
CHI	16.7	13.8	14.6	17.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Roberson	31	30	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.04	11	-17	28	14.5	16.1	-1.70	15.8	15.4	0.36
Steven Adams	49	49	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.06	11	-17	28	14.4	16.9	-2.54	16.0	15.1	0.85
Kyle Singler	8	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-4	2	13.0	15.8	-2.82	15.7	15.5	0.21
Russell Westbrook	75	74	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.31	8	-14	22	15.0	18.3	-3.33	16.0	13.8	2.22
Kevin Durant	79	80	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-7	8	15.4	16.6	-1.21	15.4	16.8	-1.41
Serge Ibaka	78	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-6	6	15.5	16.1	-0.58	15.5	15.9	-0.37
Anthony Morrow	8	8	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.03	-13	7	-20	21.4	15.0	6.35	17.4	15.4	1.99
Nick Collison	16	17	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	8	-22	17.0	15.3	1.72	13.7	16.0	-2.27
D.J. Augustin	26	28	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.02	-15	9	-24	17.0	15.0	1.93	13.7	16.3	-2.59
Enes Kanter	40	42	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	3	-12	16.9	14.6	2.34	16.0	15.2	0.72
Dion Waiters	50	51	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.35	-8	2	-10	16.0	15.0	0.97	15.7	15.3	0.41

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
E'Twaun Moore	41	41	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.44	11	-5	16	15.4	15.7	-0.26	15.5	15.6	-0.16
Taj Gibson	41	40	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.29	14	-8	22	15.4	15.7	-0.35	16.9	14.6	2.34
Joakim Noah	49	49	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-10	26	14.5	16.8	-2.30	16.9	14.1	2.78
Aaron Brooks	26	25	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.07	11	-5	16	14.5	16.0	-1.52	16.6	15.2	1.46
Derrick Rose	72	72	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	2	2	15.6	15.4	0.17	15.4	16.2	-0.80
Jimmy Butler	73	71	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.21	-1	7	-8	15.9	14.2	1.67	15.8	15.0	0.81
Tony Snell	22	24	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.12	7	-1	8	13.0	16.3	-3.29	14.5	16.0	-1.51
Pau Gasol	64	63	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.21	-6	12	-18	16.0	14.7	1.26	14.6	17.8	-3.24
Doug McDermott	45	43	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.20	-14	20	-34	16.9	14.3	2.62	15.7	15.5	0.14
Nikola Mirotic	32	32	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.09	-12	18	-30	16.7	15.0	1.72	13.9	16.4	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.87,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 103, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.48,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.61,0.74,0.79,0.94,0.93,1	91.8%
IND 98, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.78,0.98,1	91.4%
MIN 104, HOU 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.96,1	91.2%