NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Excitement	8.1 [261]		MVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): +28.8%
Houston Rockets	107		Comeback	1.5 [1010]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -30.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.17	0.11	-0.01	16	68%	0.35	1	-0.06	9	89%	0.05
Kevin Martin	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.1	0.14	-0.02	0.02	10	79%	0.17	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.05
Nemanja Bjelica	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	9	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	10	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.12	-0.18	0.01	4	69%	0.03	8	-0.33	5	60%	-0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.11	0.00	6	71%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	11	67%	0.19	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	7	62%	0.15	2	-0.04	10	50%	-0.07
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	64%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	43%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
James Harden	0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	22	49%	0.06	6	-0.16	11	82%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	0.7	30.6	15.5	25.5	2.4	38.5	140.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +25.5%

MIN -6.9%

MIN -0.2%

HOU +35.9%

MIN -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	HOU	NBA	MIN	HOU	NBA
this game	14.8	14.1	14.9	105.1	107.0	105.1
season	14.8	14.0		104.8	105.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		106.9	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.0	16.8	15.6	14.1	14.8
HOU	14.1	12.0	16.5	14.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Pekovic	31	32	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-7	11	15.6	14.5	1.10	15.3	13.6	1.71
Karl-Anthony Towns	65	67	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.45	13	-16	29	15.0	14.5	0.54	15.6	11.1	4.48
Ricky Rubio	65	66	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.48	14	-17	31	15.0	14.5	0.54	15.3	11.9	3.39
Andrew Wiggins	70	71	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.43	10	-13	23	15.0	14.4	0.63	15.1	11.7	3.47
Tayshaun Prince	37	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.35	6	-9	15	14.2	15.2	-0.93	17.1	12.4	4.74
Nemanja Bjelica	41	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	8	-19	15.4	14.4	0.92	11.6	15.8	-4.20
Gorgui Dieng	54	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	8	-19	14.4	15.4	-1.05	13.0	15.3	-2.30
Shabazz Muhammad	37	36	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	12	-27	13.6	15.5	-1.88	12.4	15.1	-2.70
Zach LaVine	34	35	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	14	-31	14.5	15.0	-0.54	11.6	15.5	-3.92
Kevin Martin	61	63	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	5	-13	15.2	14.3	0.87	12.8	16.4	-3.63

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Jones	72	72	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.39	13	-10	23	13.5	15.8	-2.36	14.1	16.7	-2.58
Dwight Howard	75	73	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.44	-3	6	-9	14.9	11.8	3.15	14.9	14.7	0.13
Corey Brewer	34	34	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	-7	17	11.5	15.5	-3.93	14.3	15.1	-0.86
Marcus Thornton	31	30	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	10	-7	17	12.1	15.0	-2.89	14.3	15.1	-0.76
Jason Terry	51	49	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.36	-3	6	-9	14.7	13.5	1.24	16.0	13.7	2.32
Trevor Ariza	68	67	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.42	-6	9	-15	15.1	12.1	2.98	15.1	14.3	0.81
James Harden	69	69	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.41	-7	10	-17	15.0	12.1	2.89	15.1	14.3	0.76
Ty Lawson	47	48	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	-2	7	14.0	14.3	-0.31	13.7	15.9	-2.25
Clint Capela	53	53	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	7	-11	13.9	14.4	-0.46	15.7	13.8	1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 86, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.59,0.54,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.85,1	92.8%
MIL 107, DAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.97,0.96,1	92.3%
MIN 85, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.78,0.91,1	92.0%