NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	107		Excitement	7.3 [338]		MVP	Andrew Bogut (MIL): +27.0%
Dallas Mavericks	108		Comeback	1.4 [1058]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): -15.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bogut	0.27	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.22	0.08	0.03	14	89%	0.39	3	-0.12	8	75%	-0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.12	-0.00	4	85%	0.22	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.05	0.15	-0.09	0.01	12	85%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	11	46%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Charlie Bell	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	64%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	5	25%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Brandon Jennings	-0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	16	36%	-0.12	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.14	0.01	15	66%	0.28	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.27,0.25,0.2	0.20	0.02	0.18	0.00	25	50%	0.29	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.06
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.10	0.00	7	68%	0.19	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	8	69%	0.14	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.7	27.2	16.4	25.1	2.5	32.2	127.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +38.6%

DAL +8.7%

DAL +7.3%

MIL -2.4%

MIL -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	DAL	NBA	MIL	DAL	NBA
this game	14.9	16.8	15.3	116.3	120.0	106.0
season	15.5	15.2		103.3	107.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.6	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.6	15.0	15.2	13.1	14.9
DAL	16.9	15.7	16.9	17.7	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	3	3	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.04	5	-6	11	15.3	14.9	0.45	20.7	16.6	4.03
Kurt Thomas	23	22	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.02	2	-3	5	13.4	15.4	-2.01	16.5	16.9	-0.41
Jerry Stackhouse	44	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-2	3	14.8	15.0	-0.25	16.0	17.5	-1.53
Luc Mbah a Moute	57	53	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-1	1	15.5	13.9	1.55	17.1	16.3	0.80
Charlie Bell	30	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	1	-3	15.5	14.6	0.94	17.6	16.4	1.20
Carlos Delfino	74	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-1	1	14.7	15.6	-0.81	16.8	16.6	0.22
Ersan Ilyasova	35	37	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.43	-1	0	-1	13.9	15.5	-1.55	16.3	17.1	-0.80
Luke Ridnour	55	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.46	-2	1	-3	14.2	15.9	-1.66	16.4	17.2	-0.81
Andrew Bogut	69	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.45	-3	2	-5	15.4	13.4	2.01	16.9	16.5	0.41
Brandon Jennings	70	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.46	-5	4	-9	15.4	13.4	2.02	17.0	16.2	0.77

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	62	64	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.48	5	-4	9	16.9	16.4	0.54	15.6	13.4	2.22
Dirk Nowitzki	66	68	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.50	3	-2	5	17.4	15.0	2.35	14.7	15.6	-0.92
Jason Kidd	67	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.45	-3	4	-7	17.2	15.6	1.56	15.3	13.7	1.62
Jose Juan Barea	31	32	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	-10	21	15.7	17.3	-1.66	14.8	15.0	-0.19
Jason Terry	58	60	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.49	-8	9	-17	17.6	15.2	2.40	15.0	14.8	0.19
Shawn Marion	65	66	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.40	-6	7	-13	16.9	16.4	0.56	15.0	14.5	0.51
Josh Howard	40	42	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	-2	5	15.6	17.7	-2.15	15.0	14.8	0.22
Quinton Ross	8	7	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	-3	7	15.4	16.9	-1.53	14.7	14.9	-0.20
Rodrigue Beaubois	25	25	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	1	-1	15.4	17.3	-1.95	13.9	15.3	-1.40
Drew Gooden	28	28	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	5	-9	16.4	16.9	-0.54	13.4	15.6	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 96, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.8,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	93.2%
SAC 86, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.96,1	92.8%
MIA 78, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.99,1,1	92.6%