inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 114 Excitement11.6 [20] MVPEvan Fournier (ORL): +39.6%
Houston Rockets 119 Comeback3.1 [599] LVPElfrid Payton (ORL): -41.6%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Evan Fournier0.400,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.40.140.260.012162%0.441-0.04580%0.18
Aaron Gordon0.280,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.26,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.280.100.18-0.001166%0.311-0.03771%-0.04
Jason Smith0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.00580%0.121-0.0600%0.00
CJ Watson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.03-0.00570%0.092-0.0600%0.00
Nikola Vucevic-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.01650%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Tobias Harris-0.050,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.05-0.090.011067%-0.012-0.04475%-0.01
Mario Hezonja-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.0010%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Shabazz Napier-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.11-0.03-0.070.00333%-0.021-0.0800%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.03-0.090.00540%-0.021-0.0900%0.00
Victor Oladipo-0.160,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.160.02-0.170.001651%-0.131-0.023100%0.02
Elfrid Payton-0.420,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.27,-0.35,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42-0.10-0.310.01831%-0.263-0.1500%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.300.140.210.041085%0.373-0.07743%-0.07
Trevor Ariza0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.110.110.090.030.011173%0.193-0.08475%0.00
Clint Capela0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.020.00580%0.0800.0000%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.001100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Marcus Thornton0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.08-0.050.021464%0.081-0.0600%0.00
Montrezl Harrell00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Patrick Beverley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00437%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ty Lawson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.07-0.021450%0.055-0.164100%0.06
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.09-0.08-0.00712%-0.1700.0020%-0.11
James Harden0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22,-0.42,-0.42,-0.4,-0.46,-0.38,-0.27,-0.27,-0.29-0.29-0.13-0.16-0.012246%-0.017-0.281782%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.42.431.515.628.71.837.02.615.9158.9
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.52.217.3136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +40.0%
ORL -28.1%
HOU +39.6%
ORL -5.4%
HOU +3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLHOUNBAORLHOUNBA
this game15.115.614.9109.6115.5105.1
season14.614.0103.6105.9
opponent15.114.9106.9105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ORL13.616.514.815.715.715.1
HOU13.016.215.816.319.915.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shabazz Napier15170.17-0.670.850.093-81114.515.2-0.7718.315.13.22
CJ Watson43420.16-0.660.83-0.047-121914.015.9-1.9214.916.1-1.22
Jason Smith22190.03-0.530.560.09-2-3114.015.4-1.3713.916.0-2.09
Nikola Vucevic34340.01-0.510.52-0.083-81114.315.5-1.1915.515.7-0.20
Tobias Harris4242-0.07-0.430.35-0.04-1-4314.715.4-0.6515.116.0-0.90
Mario Hezonja2323-0.22-0.280.050.04-94-1315.814.90.9013.016.3-3.35
Evan Fournier8988-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.32-3-2-115.015.7-0.6315.914.11.80
Aaron Gordon6261-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.31-4-1-315.414.70.6516.015.10.90
Victor Oladipo8684-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.480-5515.015.8-0.8615.814.71.13
Dewayne Dedmon4850-0.540.04-0.58-0.37-61-716.214.21.9716.314.91.43
Elfrid Payton5655-0.720.22-0.94-0.34-138-2116.213.82.4415.715.50.15

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ty Lawson78810.79-0.291.090.3515-102515.316.7-1.4215.912.53.34
Corey Brewer69670.70-0.200.910.449-41315.416.0-0.6415.514.41.12
Trevor Ariza80830.52-0.010.530.4041315.316.5-1.1315.713.02.66
Dwight Howard60620.410.090.310.3232115.316.0-0.6415.714.21.49
James Harden84840.370.130.240.3123-116.312.63.6414.716.9-2.26
Clint Capela37360.310.190.130.088-31116.215.30.9214.415.5-1.13
Patrick Beverley26260.020.48-0.450.0205-513.616.3-2.7114.315.4-1.09
Marcus Thornton5757-0.190.69-0.88-0.10-38-1116.214.81.3614.116.3-2.18
Jason Terry1818-0.210.71-0.93-0.01-712-1916.915.31.5614.215.3-1.16
Montrezl Harrell66-0.220.72-0.94-0.05-611-1714.715.7-0.9913.315.2-1.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.61,0.38,0.54,0.31,0.74,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.78,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 99, GSW 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.64,0.46,0.53,0.62,0.45,0.45,0.28,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.73,189.3%
UTA 112, MIL 1190.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.44,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.69,0.54,0.69,0.93,0.96,0.98,189.3%
MIL 115, POR 1200.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.53,0.71,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.73,0.54,0.74,0.57,0.9,0.98,189.1%