NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	98		Excitement	4.0 [1020]		MVP	Draymond Green (GSW): +19.7%
Golden State Warriors	106		Comeback	1.6 [1025]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -12.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.09	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	12	75%	0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.00	0.08	7	86%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Wilcox	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	1	0%	0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Austin Rivers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.08	14	67%	0.05	4	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	11	35%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Chris Paul	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	17	41%	-0.03	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Draymond Green	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.02	-0.01	15	68%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	13	81%	0.18	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	14	64%	0.11	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	7	64%	0.02	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	12	36%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	3	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.07	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	33.6	17.4	30.5	2.5	32.6	141.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +45.4%

GSW +6.0%

GSW +1.5%

LAC -4.1%

GSW +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	15.3	14.9	15.1	102.1	111.6	104.2
season	14.6	13.6		110.5	109.2
opponent	15.5	15.3		99.7	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.1	15.7	16.5	12.9	15.3
GSW	15.9	13.1	13.5	17.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hamilton	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-20	32	12.6	15.9	-3.30	17.1	14.4	2.76
CJ Wilcox	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-11	14	8.2	15.7	-7.49	22.2	14.4	7.81
Nate Robinson	40	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.26	5	-13	18	14.0	16.2	-2.28	16.8	13.5	3.25
Spencer Hawes	35	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-1	-6	16.6	14.5	2.09	17.0	13.7	3.30
Hedo Turkoglu	42	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.16	1	-9	10	15.5	15.1	0.39	15.2	14.6	0.60
Austin Rivers	62	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-13	18	14.8	16.2	-1.35	15.1	14.3	0.82
Glen Davis	46	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.29	3	-11	14	14.5	16.0	-1.50	16.1	13.6	2.52
Matt Barnes	49	48	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	6	-20	16.0	14.6	1.43	13.4	16.4	-2.99
Chris Paul	63	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	6	-20	16.0	14.0	1.94	13.9	16.7	-2.81
JJ Redick	57	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.05	-17	9	-26	15.6	14.8	0.85	13.1	17.4	-4.25
DeAndre Jordan	64	64	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	9	-26	16.1	13.8	2.28	13.4	17.8	-4.43

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	59	60	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.07	21	-13	34	13.5	17.0	-3.50	16.1	14.0	2.13
Draymond Green	54	56	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	-7	22	13.9	16.2	-2.32	16.3	13.8	2.49
Stephen Curry	64	65	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.03	15	-7	22	13.7	17.2	-3.52	16.2	13.5	2.64
Harrison Barnes	70	71	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	6	-4	14.7	15.3	-0.63	14.3	18.1	-3.76
Shaun Livingston	57	57	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	8	-8	14.7	15.1	-0.38	14.6	16.4	-1.82
Andrew Bogut	39	39	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	-1	10	14.4	15.1	-0.71	16.1	14.8	1.35
Marreese Speights	4	4	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	5	-2	17.7	14.7	3.02	14.7	15.3	-0.58
Leandro Barbosa	31	31	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.29	-7	15	-22	17.2	13.7	3.52	13.5	16.2	-2.64
Andre Iguodala	44	46	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	4	0	15.0	14.7	0.23	16.4	14.3	2.17
David Lee	38	37	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.36	-11	19	-30	16.6	13.7	2.88	14.1	16.1	-1.94
Justin Holiday	8	7	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	19	-30	20.7	14.3	6.44	8.0	15.9	-7.88
Festus Ezeli	7	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	8	-8	20.4	14.4	6.02	18.1	15.1	3.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 94, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
POR 80, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1	95.9%
UTA 102, LAL 132	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%