NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	102		Excitement	4.0 [1018]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +33.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	132		Comeback	1.4 [859]		LVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): -12.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	-0.00	-0.04	8	60%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.14	-0.01	0.08	16	68%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Dee Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	61%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.08	7	76%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
CJ Miles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	40%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	8	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	11	48%	0.00	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Jarron Collins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	5	17%	-0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.41	0.04	0.12	26	78%	0.36	1	-0.03	15	80%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	5	77%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	0.00	0.07	9	71%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	9	64%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	2	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	60%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Smush Parker	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	47%	0.02	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.03	7	57%	-0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.7	34.3	19.4	36.0	1.8	29.4	146.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +31.3%

LAL +12.8%

LAL +1.9%

LAL +3.6%

LAL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	15.5	13.7	15.4	103.0	134.7	104.5
season	15.9	15.3		107.4	106.3
opponent	14.9	15.0		107.3	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.7	15.4	15.3	15.6	15.5
LAL	14.3	13.9	11.3	15.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	47	48	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.23	-5	-25	20	15.8	15.2	0.60	13.5	13.9	-0.38
Dee Brown	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-29	28	15.1	15.6	-0.48	12.8	13.8	-1.01
Paul Millsap	34	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-29	28	15.0	15.8	-0.74	14.4	13.3	1.07
Derek Fisher	29	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-31	32	15.4	15.5	-0.09	15.0	13.2	1.83
Gordan Giricek	31	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	-21	12	14.8	15.9	-1.08	14.2	13.5	0.65
Jarron Collins	32	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.21	-13	-17	4	15.3	15.6	-0.30	12.2	14.5	-2.36
Mehmet Okur	44	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.17	-12	-18	6	16.6	14.6	2.02	14.7	12.8	1.85
CJ Miles	25	23	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-18	6	14.9	15.7	-0.85	12.5	14.1	-1.56
Andrei Kirilenko	64	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	-12	-6	16.0	14.6	1.37	14.4	12.5	1.96
Matt Harpring	47	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.15	-19	-11	-8	14.9	16.1	-1.14	13.8	13.6	0.23
Deron Williams	59	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.41	-30	0	-30	15.6	15.3	0.28	13.3	14.4	-1.16
Carlos Boozer	72	70	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.41	-31	1	-32	15.4	15.7	-0.26	13.1	15.3	-2.20

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	80	81	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.32	31	-1	32	13.5	14.7	-1.23	15.8	14.4	1.38
Luke Walton	52	54	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.03	15	15	0	13.1	14.4	-1.23	15.7	15.3	0.46
Ronny Turiaf	28	29	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.15	18	12	6	13.4	13.8	-0.45	15.2	15.7	-0.48
Kobe Bryant	71	72	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.30	22	8	14	13.2	15.0	-1.77	15.3	16.1	-0.87
Smush Parker	50	52	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	17	-4	12.7	14.7	-2.03	15.5	15.6	-0.07
Maurice Evans	48	47	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.33	17	13	4	14.7	12.7	2.03	15.6	15.5	0.07
Jordan Farmar	48	47	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.33	17	13	4	14.7	12.7	2.03	15.6	15.5	0.07
Kwame Brown	47	47	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.12	8	22	-14	12.9	14.4	-1.50	15.5	15.5	0.03
Sasha Vujacic	19	20	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	28	-26	14.6	13.5	1.14	14.3	15.8	-1.46
Andrew Bynum	26	27	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.14	5	25	-20	15.9	12.9	2.95	16.6	15.1	1.43
Vladimir Radmanovic	21	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.08	2	28	-26	14.0	13.6	0.30	14.9	15.7	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 79, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
GSW 92, MIA 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MEM 72, OKC 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%