inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 79 Excitement3.6 [1034] MVPKhalid Reeves (DAL): +7.0%
Orlando Magic 100 Comeback1.5 [938] LVPGerald Wilkins (ORL): -11.4%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Khalid Reeves0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.01-0.02383%0.0700.0000%0.00
Martin Muursepp0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cedric Ceballos-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.00862%0.022-0.035100%0.01
A.C. Green-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00757%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Hubert Davis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.05640%0.012-0.03333%-0.00
Eric Riley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Bubba Wells-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.02856%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Michael Finley-0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.011550%0.023-0.0620%-0.02
Shawn Bradley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.00540%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Erick Strickland-0.080,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.010.00756%-0.014-0.07250%-0.01
Chris Anstey-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.01932%-0.071-0.03425%-0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.011767%0.113-0.05978%0.01
Derek Harper0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.020.011262%0.071-0.015100%0.03
Dan Schayes0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.01750%0.0300.002100%0.01
Kevin Edwards0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.031100%0.0100.003100%0.01
David Benoit0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Spud Webb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Lawson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Horace Grant0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.02944%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Nick Anderson0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.040.010.02859%0.013-0.06667%-0.02
Derek Strong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.14-0.02-0.061330%-0.072-0.03475%0.01
Gerald Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.12-0.02-0.03933%-0.063-0.06333%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.71.823.515.826.71.827.4119.6
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL -3.6%
ORL +18.1%
ORL +21.2%
ORL +12.2%
ORL +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALORLNBADALORLNBA
this game15.217.715.690.8113.6102.5
season15.816.798.3100.3
opponent15.615.5101.4104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL13.413.715.918.015.2
ORL19.417.617.516.317.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Khalid Reeves1618-0.09-0.410.31-0.04-2-191716.414.91.5415.718.2-2.51
Eric Riley1515-0.13-0.370.25-0.04-3-181514.415.3-0.9517.817.70.10
Martin Muursepp2627-0.13-0.370.250.05-6-15916.214.71.4915.918.5-2.69
Hubert Davis5151-0.13-0.370.240.19-11-10-115.315.00.2718.416.81.56
Shawn Bradley3334-0.19-0.310.110.07-9-12314.015.9-1.9118.517.21.23
A.C. Green4242-0.20-0.300.100.04-8-13514.016.3-2.3319.116.52.59
Michael Finley6262-0.29-0.21-0.080.27-19-2-1714.616.7-2.1618.515.82.76
Cedric Ceballos3940-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.12-6-15916.214.41.8516.119.1-3.01
Bubba Wells4040-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.11-7-14715.415.00.4517.018.3-1.36
Chris Anstey5353-0.35-0.15-0.210.06-14-7-716.313.52.7616.919.0-2.08
Erick Strickland5858-0.38-0.12-0.260.21-20-1-1914.815.9-1.0218.715.82.91

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Horace Grant68670.56-0.060.61-0.2126-53118.216.12.0315.314.80.43
Nick Anderson67670.450.050.41-0.101921718.016.91.1315.215.10.11
Derek Harper67680.400.100.30-0.192011918.714.73.9414.716.8-2.12
Gerald Wilkins36340.310.190.12-0.011110117.617.8-0.2216.214.51.73
Dan Schayes58570.300.200.090.06813-518.616.02.6514.616.3-1.65
Bo Outlaw72710.290.210.08-0.12147718.613.65.0015.414.31.07
Derek Strong45450.150.35-0.21-0.12912-317.018.4-1.4216.014.31.64
Kevin Edwards10100.050.45-0.400.02120-1913.118.3-5.2114.615.3-0.66
David Benoit550.000.50-0.500.03-122-237.218.3-11.1513.215.3-2.10
Spud Webb760.000.50-0.500.03-122-2311.618.2-6.6814.515.2-0.73
Jason Lawson550.000.50-0.500.03-122-237.218.3-11.1513.215.3-2.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 101, NYK 1240.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.73,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
UTA 102, LAL 1320.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
LAL 102, DET 1210.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%