NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	94		Excitement	4.1 [1006]		MVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): +13.1%
Sacramento Kings	116		Comeback	1.6 [1016]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -24.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Price	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chase Budinger	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alan Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
John Jenkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.19	-0.00	-0.16	7	6%	-0.01	4	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	13	41%	0.01	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Mirza Teletovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	0.04	16	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.09	-0.05	0.10	21	57%	0.00	9	-0.24	4	50%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	18	58%	0.16	1	-0.02	14	71%	0.03
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	58%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	19	59%	0.07	3	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	10	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.00	0.07	9	64%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	7	35%	0.01	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.06	10	55%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	29.8	14.6	28.6	2.3	28.6	130.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +14.1%

SAC +10.4%

PHX -3.2%

SAC +28.7%

SAC +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	13.0	13.4	14.9	86.2	106.4	105.1
season	14.4	13.9		100.9	104.8
opponent	14.6	14.4		107.1	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.2	14.0	14.2	10.9	13.0
SAC	14.0	12.2	12.5	14.8	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Leuer	38	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-24	26	12.5	13.3	-0.82	13.6	13.3	0.34
Archie Goodwin	52	54	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-18	14	13.0	13.1	-0.11	13.2	13.6	-0.40
Chase Budinger	55	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.09	-8	-14	6	13.3	12.7	0.62	13.5	13.3	0.21
Alex Len	60	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-19	16	12.3	14.0	-1.71	13.6	13.2	0.38
Alan Williams	25	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	-10	-2	12.9	13.1	-0.20	14.8	13.0	1.80
Ronnie Price	50	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.14	-14	-8	-6	14.1	12.1	2.04	12.9	13.8	-0.85
John Jenkins	65	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.21	-20	-2	-18	13.1	13.0	0.10	13.2	13.7	-0.50
Mirza Teletovic	58	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	-4	-14	13.8	12.2	1.54	12.7	14.2	-1.41
Devin Booker	80	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.07	-16	-6	-10	12.4	14.7	-2.25	13.7	12.7	1.03
PJ Tucker	62	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	-5	-12	13.1	12.9	0.18	13.5	13.3	0.19

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	63	63	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.16	22	0	22	13.2	13.7	-0.54	13.4	12.5	0.97
Rajon Rondo	69	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.09	18	4	14	13.0	14.0	-1.05	13.5	12.3	1.16
DeMarcus Cousins	63	64	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	6	10	13.0	13.9	-0.95	13.2	12.8	0.37
Darren Collison	60	59	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	11	0	12.9	14.0	-1.04	13.6	12.4	1.25
Willie Cauley-Stein	67	65	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	15	-8	13.4	13.4	-0.07	12.7	13.5	-0.82
Omri Casspi	68	68	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.07	9	13	-4	13.1	13.9	-0.87	13.0	13.2	-0.21
Marco Belinelli	23	22	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	15	-8	12.5	13.6	-1.09	14.3	12.7	1.55
Seth Curry	59	61	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.12	10	12	-2	14.5	12.1	2.37	12.1	14.2	-2.13
Quincy Acy	41	42	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.14	9	13	-4	14.6	12.7	1.92	12.9	13.1	-0.18
James Anderson	32	32	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	21	-20	14.2	13.1	1.09	11.9	13.5	-1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 107, ATL 130	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
LAC 98, GSW 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
SAC 80, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%