NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	80		Excitement	3.7 [1046]		MVP	Josh Howard (DAL): +13.1%
Dallas Mavericks	91		Comeback	1.6 [1210]		LVP	James Jones (POR): -8.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.00	-0.02	15	61%	0.12	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	8	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	6	71%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	12	31%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	9	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Jarrett Jack	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	7	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.00
James Jones	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.01	15	62%	0.15	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	13	61%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.10	0.03	-0.09	15	35%	0.05	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	14	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.0	27.2	16.8	25.7	2.0	31.4	128.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +18.3%

DAL +11.8%

DAL +10.0%

DAL +9.4%

DAL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	16.5	16.8	15.4	93.0	104.6	105.7
season	16.7	16.1		105.5	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.4		105.0	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.6	17.3	16.5	16.4	16.5
DAL	17.1	17.0	14.8	18.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sergio Rodriguez	28	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.18	5	-16	21	15.4	16.9	-1.52	17.8	16.4	1.42
Raef LaFrentz	16	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-11	11	14.8	16.8	-2.02	16.4	16.9	-0.53
James Jones	5	6	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	-5	-1	20.6	16.2	4.40	18.5	16.7	1.78
Joel Przybilla	37	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-5	-1	16.5	16.4	0.15	17.5	16.4	1.08
Travis Outlaw	51	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.27	1	-12	13	16.0	17.1	-1.11	17.2	16.4	0.80
Brandon Roy	58	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	-4	-3	16.5	16.4	0.04	17.1	16.3	0.82
Martell Webster	49	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	-5	-1	16.3	16.6	-0.34	15.6	18.6	-3.07
Jarrett Jack	58	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-4	-3	16.4	16.6	-0.17	16.6	17.3	-0.76
Steve Blake	56	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	3	-17	17.0	15.4	1.62	16.8	16.9	-0.11
LaMarcus Aldridge	72	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.07	-15	4	-19	16.9	14.1	2.76	16.8	17.1	-0.35

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	73	74	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.06	15	-4	19	17.3	14.6	2.62	17.1	12.2	4.89
Dirk Nowitzki	55	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	-5	21	17.3	16.0	1.28	17.2	15.0	2.14
Jason Terry	68	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	8	-5	17.0	16.2	0.87	16.7	15.8	0.85
Devin Harris	65	66	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	2	7	16.8	16.9	-0.03	16.9	15.1	1.76
Erick Dampier	47	45	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	4	3	17.7	15.9	1.78	17.8	15.0	2.87
Jerry Stackhouse	33	32	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	7	-3	15.3	17.8	-2.52	14.8	17.4	-2.56
DeSagana Diop	35	34	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	9	-7	16.1	17.3	-1.26	15.0	17.4	-2.40
Jose Juan Barea	22	21	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	9	-7	17.2	16.7	0.52	14.6	17.1	-2.49
Brandon Bass	37	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	14	-17	15.8	17.6	-1.79	15.0	17.5	-2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 92, MIA 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
DET 88, MIL 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
LAC 98, GSW 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%