NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	97		Excitement	4.0 [1015]		MVP	Tyler Johnson (MIA): +7.3%
Washington Wizards	99		Comeback	1.0 [977]		LVP	Henry Walker (MIA): -20.2%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Johnson	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	8	61%	0.15	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Andersen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	8	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.02	0.04	3	92%	0.04	4	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Shabazz Napier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.12	-0.03	0.10	10	73%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.02	4	-0.04	7	43%	-0.02
Udonis Haslem	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	13	50%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.2	-0.06	-0.19	-0.05	12	33%	-0.19	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	7	37%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	55%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	12	58%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	45%	0.00	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	10	30%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	9	56%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05	-0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.10	11	63%	-0.03	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.02
Nene	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.16	-0.16	0.04	-0.17	0.03	12	62%	0.03	3	-0.19	8	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.7	30.3	15.5	24.5	2.6	40.0	139.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +24.9%

WAS +3.6%

WAS +16.8%

MIA -11.7%

WAS +16.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	WAS	NBA	MIA	WAS	NBA
this game	14.7	15.7	15.1	101.0	105.3	104.2
season	16.0	15.1		102.4	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.3		101.7	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.6	13.1	13.6	15.6	14.7
WAS	13.2	15.7	14.7	19.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	27	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.56	19	-21	40	13.4	15.1	-1.74	15.5	15.7	-0.24
James Ennis	56	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.62	14	-16	30	14.0	15.6	-1.66	17.2	13.4	3.78
Shabazz Napier	59	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.64	14	-16	30	13.9	15.8	-1.83	17.1	13.1	3.95
Michael Beasley	39	39	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-4	6	15.2	14.3	0.84	18.4	13.7	4.68
Hassan Whiteside	44	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.41	-24	22	-46	14.9	14.4	0.51	13.5	17.4	-3.88
Goran Dragic	61	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	11	-24	14.5	14.9	-0.36	14.1	18.3	-4.21
Udonis Haslem	67	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.50	5	-7	12	15.1	13.6	1.58	15.8	15.3	0.47
Henry Walker	66	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	11	-24	15.1	13.8	1.29	14.6	18.0	-3.32
Tyler Johnson	72	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.28	-5	3	-8	15.3	12.6	2.76	15.8	15.4	0.37

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	35	35	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.78	-11	13	-24	16.6	15.1	1.48	13.2	15.5	-2.25
John Wall	66	67	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.29	5	-3	8	15.7	15.7	-0.01	15.4	13.0	2.37
Bradley Beal	64	66	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.02	12	-10	22	15.7	15.7	0.01	15.2	13.4	1.88
Nene	65	64	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.49	-6	8	-14	15.4	16.3	-0.93	15.0	14.0	0.94
Marcin Gortat	64	66	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	-6	14	14.8	17.5	-2.64	14.5	14.9	-0.40
Paul Pierce	42	45	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	-1	4	15.2	16.0	-0.78	15.7	13.7	2.03
Otto Porter	56	55	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	5	-8	15.9	15.3	0.68	14.3	15.1	-0.73
Drew Gooden	32	34	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	0	2	17.2	14.9	2.25	14.2	14.9	-0.65
Kevin Seraphin	18	19	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	-1	4	15.4	15.7	-0.35	13.7	14.9	-1.15
Ramon Sessions	28	29	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.15	-3	5	-8	15.7	15.7	0.01	13.0	15.4	-2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.83,0.8,0.71,0.92,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 95, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.84,1	94.0%
DET 92, NYK 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.95,0.97,1,1	93.9%
MIL 113, DEN 120	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.85,0.96,1,1	93.6%