NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	95		Excitement	3.8 [1050]		MVP	Ramon Sessions (CHA): +18.8%
Charlotte Bobcats	100		Comeback	1.1 [493]		LVP	Patrick Patterson (TOR): -8.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07	-0.00	0.11	0.04	22	47%	0.11	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.12
Steve Novak	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	0.00	0.09	3	150%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.03	23	49%	-0.02	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
John Salmons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	6	7%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Greivis Vasquez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06	0.03	-0.06	0.03	13	58%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	9	60%	0.05	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	9	44%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.12	0.03	10	74%	0.23	3	-0.04	11	91%	0.06
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	79%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.02	18	55%	0.10	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	5	110%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	73%	0.03	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	5	38%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	50%	-0.01	3	-0.04	10	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.1	1.0	31.0	14.7	24.6	1.8	33.4	126.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +37.6%

CHA +17.2%

TOR -9.6%

CHA +5.0%

TOR -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHA	NBA	TOR	CHA	NBA
this game	14.7	16.1	15.1	101.1	107.5	105.2
season	15.9	15.7		107.2	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.1		103.1	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.8	16.0	14.8	11.7	14.7
CHA	16.7	15.3	14.6	17.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greivis Vasquez	46	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.72	22	-27	49	13.8	15.6	-1.71	17.4	14.8	2.54
Patrick Patterson	50	48	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.55	15	-20	35	14.0	15.5	-1.55	18.0	14.0	3.96
Steve Novak	30	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.37	8	-13	21	12.1	16.0	-3.90	15.6	16.3	-0.72
John Salmons	36	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-5	5	13.9	15.3	-1.40	14.6	17.0	-2.36
Charles Hayes	52	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.44	8	-13	21	13.5	16.3	-2.78	15.4	17.0	-1.59
Amir Johnson	33	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.21	-17	12	-29	16.5	13.8	2.67	15.6	16.3	-0.74
Jonas Valanciunas	34	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.23	-18	13	-31	17.3	13.3	3.98	15.7	16.3	-0.65
Terrence Ross	40	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	12	-29	16.6	13.3	3.35	16.4	15.9	0.51
DeMar DeRozan	77	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	7	-19	14.9	13.9	0.95	15.5	18.9	-3.42
Kyle Lowry	72	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	9	-23	15.0	13.9	1.06	16.3	15.3	1.07

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	67	68	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	-5	15	15.1	18.6	-3.51	14.6	15.2	-0.60
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	60	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	-13	31	15.3	17.5	-2.26	15.4	13.5	1.96
Josh McRoberts	65	65	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.16	7	-2	9	16.3	15.6	0.69	14.5	15.3	-0.80
Gerald Henderson	68	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	0	5	15.1	18.8	-3.71	14.7	14.7	0.06
Al Jefferson	71	71	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	-2	9	16.2	15.7	0.47	15.4	12.7	2.68
Anthony Tolliver	36	36	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.51	-11	16	-27	16.1	16.1	0.04	12.7	16.0	-3.29
Chris Douglas-Roberts	25	25	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	5	-5	18.8	15.1	3.71	14.7	14.7	-0.06
Cody Zeller	28	30	0.14	0.35	-0.21	0.20	-2	7	-9	15.6	16.3	-0.69	14.9	14.6	0.31
Jannero Pargo	26	26	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.23	-5	10	-15	18.6	15.1	3.51	15.2	14.6	0.60
Bismack Biyombo	19	19	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	9	-13	18.2	15.6	2.60	14.4	14.8	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.86,0.93,1	96.3%
ORL 101, MIA 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.77,0.99,1	95.3%
DEN 91, OKC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.85,0.9,1,1	95.2%