NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	94		Excitement	3.6 [1112]		MVP	Rashad McCants (MIN): +6.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	1.0 [1243]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -10.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	10	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	-0.02	0.08	11	69%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.00
David Lee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.04	3	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.03
Jalen Rose	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	47%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jackie Butler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.00	2	67%	0.06	1	-0.12	2	100%	0.04
Jerome James	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.05	10	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	10	40%	-0.04
Stephon Marbury	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	9	55%	0.01	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashad McCants	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	9	74%	0.09	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	5	72%	0.05	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	14	50%	0.04	3	-0.04	14	86%	-0.02
Anthony Carter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	11	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	11	55%	-0.05
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	19	53%	-0.01	6	-0.08	11	73%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.7	32.2	15.8	34.1	1.8	44.0	158.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +15.5%

MIN +1.1%

MIN +7.5%

MIN +21.9%

MIN +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIN	NBA	NYK	MIN	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.6	96.9	103.2	104.4
season	15.7	16.1		102.1	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.4		103.1	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.0	17.0	14.4	13.5	15.2
MIN	12.8	14.3	15.7	16.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jackie Butler	24	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.50	16	-20	36	13.5	15.8	-2.25	16.5	14.2	2.28
Nate Robinson	38	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.41	9	-13	22	14.3	15.8	-1.51	15.3	14.4	0.84
Maurice Taylor	24	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	0	-4	13.3	15.9	-2.59	15.7	14.5	1.22
David Lee	52	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.52	12	-16	28	15.0	15.5	-0.43	15.4	14.0	1.45
Jamal Crawford	56	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.44	8	-12	20	14.6	16.1	-1.49	15.4	14.0	1.42
Jerome James	21	20	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	7	-18	15.1	15.3	-0.18	14.1	14.9	-0.77
Eddy Curry	52	51	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	4	-12	16.1	14.3	1.81	14.2	15.4	-1.21
Jalen Rose	46	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	5	-14	16.2	14.4	1.74	14.0	15.5	-1.58
Steve Francis	60	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	5	-14	15.4	14.9	0.56	14.6	14.9	-0.30
Malik Rose	39	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.22	-19	15	-34	17.6	13.7	3.93	13.1	15.8	-2.79
Stephon Marbury	73	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	1	-6	15.0	16.0	-1.07	14.7	14.8	-0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	73	75	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.17	10	-6	16	14.3	16.2	-1.85	15.8	13.3	2.54
Ricky Davis	76	78	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	2	0	14.4	16.2	-1.82	15.3	14.8	0.56
Marcus Banks	77	78	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	5	-6	14.7	15.0	-0.30	15.2	15.3	-0.10
Rashad McCants	61	62	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	-2	8	14.7	14.8	-0.10	15.3	15.1	0.24
Marko Jaric	38	39	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	4	-4	15.6	14.2	1.41	14.2	15.9	-1.73
Mark Blount	52	54	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	-2	8	14.7	14.9	-0.19	14.9	15.7	-0.79
Eddie Griffin	33	35	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	0	4	15.3	14.5	0.79	14.7	15.5	-0.82
Anthony Carter	19	19	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	4	-4	14.8	14.7	0.11	14.5	15.4	-0.88
Justin Reed	40	40	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	8	-12	15.3	14.3	1.02	15.9	14.7	1.21
Mark Madsen	6	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	7	-10	14.0	14.8	-0.81	16.6	15.2	1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.86,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
ATL 85, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
DEN 74, SAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%