inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 74 Excitement2.2 [1229] MVPTony Parker (SAS): +5.7%
San Antonio Spurs 109 Comeback1.0 [1244] LVPNick Van Exel (DEN): -9.1%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Avery Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.110.01-0.12845%0.044-0.02475%-0.00
James Posey0.020,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.02862%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Zendon Hamilton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06345%0.0020.00560%0.00
Kenny Satterfield0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05667%0.0000.0000%0.00
Scott Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.01250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Voshon Lenard-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.02667%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Ryan Bowen-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.02540%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Calbert Cheaney-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.03520%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Shawnelle Scott-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.030.000.02540%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
George McCloud-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.170.00-0.1067%-0.033-0.04250%-0.01
Raef LaFrentz-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.011436%-0.052-0.0300%0.00
Nick Van Exel-0.090,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.110.00-0.021342%-0.025-0.0700%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.01587%0.072-0.01683%0.01
David Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.021158%0.0300.0020%-0.02
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.040.00-0.081078%0.108-0.067100%0.02
Steven Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02662%0.031-0.01450%-0.01
Charles Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.04871%0.031-0.0110%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03533%0.0000.002100%0.00
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02487%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Amal McCaskill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.07337%0.0020.00250%0.00
Cherokee Parks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00367%0.0010.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.030.000.03667%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.01940%-0.0300.0020%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.92.524.216.822.12.427.5121.5
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +35.6%
SAS +6.1%
DEN -0.9%
SAS +9.3%
DEN -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSASNBADENSASNBA
this game17.014.015.680.4116.0102.3
season16.115.899.7104.3
opponent15.715.298.0105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN18.215.616.717.617.0
SAS13.112.715.315.114.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenny Satterfield1718-0.00-0.500.500.18-6-292317.916.81.1415.213.71.46
Zendon Hamilton2326-0.03-0.470.440.12-5-302515.917.4-1.5214.313.90.49
Ryan Bowen4244-0.16-0.340.18-0.01-5-302515.018.7-3.7014.213.80.45
Calbert Cheaney4344-0.18-0.320.140.43-21-14-717.117.00.1112.515.3-2.71
James Posey4950-0.19-0.310.130.17-12-231117.116.90.2815.612.23.40
George McCloud3535-0.19-0.310.120.49-23-12-1116.817.1-0.2910.216.2-6.04
Scott Williams1819-0.19-0.310.110.30-17-18120.716.14.6112.414.4-1.97
Avery Johnson5152-0.23-0.270.050.48-24-11-1316.317.9-1.6112.815.5-2.73
Raef LaFrentz5050-0.28-0.22-0.070.04-11-241316.517.6-1.1615.012.92.12
Voshon Lenard4546-0.30-0.20-0.090.09-13-22917.616.41.1515.912.13.81
Shawnelle Scott3533-0.33-0.17-0.160.20-18-17-118.016.41.6013.614.2-0.64
Nick Van Exel5253-0.42-0.08-0.350.16-20-15-517.516.31.2114.812.91.88

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan62620.440.060.38-0.382872113.115.6-2.4817.216.60.66
Steven Smith56540.410.090.32-0.382781913.714.4-0.7217.416.41.05
David Robinson45440.400.100.29-0.161916314.913.11.8116.817.2-0.46
Tony Parker50490.320.180.15-0.262015514.913.01.9517.816.11.68
Bruce Bowen44430.290.210.08-0.3823121114.913.21.7318.415.82.56
Antonio Daniels51510.200.30-0.10-0.151223-1113.314.8-1.5216.318.0-1.70
Terry Porter44430.180.32-0.15-0.261520-513.014.9-1.9516.117.8-1.68
Malik Rose43410.150.35-0.20-0.261421-712.914.9-1.9515.418.3-2.84
Charles Smith37360.090.41-0.31-0.14827-1914.313.80.5115.817.8-1.98
Mark Bryant16160.010.49-0.48-0.341223-1114.913.81.1421.116.14.98
Amal McCaskill870.000.50-0.500.21-742-4917.113.73.4313.917.3-3.41
Cherokee Parks14140.000.50-0.50-0.12431-2715.113.81.2718.316.81.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 95, MIN 1240.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
ATL 85, BOS 1030.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
BKN 81, MIN 1110.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%