NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	2.7 [983]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +14.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Comeback	1.0 [576]		LVP	Dahntay Jones (IND): -10.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	12	64%	0.05	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
A.J. Price	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.11	0.00	0.09	5	92%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.05	15	52%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.02
Paul George	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	14	32%	-0.05	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03
David West	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	0.00	0.01	15	31%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	0.00	-0.02	8	17%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.00	0.02	12	79%	0.15	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Semih Erden	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.14	0.00	0.07	8	78%	0.08	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	0.00	0.08	5	118%	0.05	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	7	57%	0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	10	45%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	11	31%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Luke Harangody	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	18	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	40%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	32.0	17.0	25.2	2.6	32.2	135.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +51.8%

CLE +7.1%

IND -8.3%

IND -0.4%

IND -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	17.0	16.1	15.6	100.0	112.6	102.8
season	15.7	15.5		104.2	99.5
opponent	15.6	15.6		107.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.9	18.0	16.4	14.7	17.0
CLE	13.8	15.5	15.6	19.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Ayres	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-16	21	8.0	17.5	-9.55	23.8	15.6	8.17
Paul George	45	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.06	-3	-8	5	16.8	17.2	-0.32	16.9	15.3	1.58
Lou Amundson	24	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-11	11	16.2	17.3	-1.15	17.4	15.6	1.81
A.J. Price	37	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-10	9	16.6	17.3	-0.61	15.9	16.2	-0.32
Tyler Hansbrough	35	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-5	-1	18.3	16.2	2.10	15.8	16.3	-0.56
David West	49	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	2	-15	17.4	16.4	0.98	15.5	16.9	-1.36
Roy Hibbert	61	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-3	-5	17.0	17.0	0.00	15.6	17.2	-1.61
Darren Collison	60	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	0	-11	17.5	15.9	1.66	15.8	16.7	-0.85
Lance Stephenson	53	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-4	-3	16.2	18.3	-2.17	16.4	15.6	0.75
Dahntay Jones	66	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	0	-11	17.5	15.4	2.13	15.7	17.4	-1.68

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	53	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	5	1	15.9	16.4	-0.55	17.6	16.1	1.58
Antawn Jamison	63	66	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	2	7	16.4	15.3	1.12	17.0	17.1	-0.13
Daniel Gibson	39	40	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	-3	17	15.6	16.5	-0.88	17.7	16.4	1.39
Kyrie Irving	69	68	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	5	1	15.8	17.4	-1.69	16.7	17.9	-1.21
Omri Casspi	49	49	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	3	5	16.7	15.4	1.31	17.0	17.0	0.05
Ryan Hollins	27	26	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	-1	13	15.1	16.5	-1.44	19.4	16.0	3.40
Semih Erden	59	59	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	10	-9	16.3	15.7	0.57	16.0	19.1	-3.11
Alonzo Gee	51	52	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	12	-13	16.6	15.4	1.27	16.1	18.3	-2.20
Tristan Thompson	22	21	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	11	-11	16.0	16.2	-0.20	17.4	16.9	0.50
Luke Harangody	3	2	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	11	-11	16.0	16.1	-0.11	12.5	17.1	-4.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 74, SAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
ORL 71, BOS 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
BKN 81, MIN 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%