NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	105		Excitement	9.1 [126]		MVP	E'Twaun Moore (CHI): +86.9%
Chicago Bulls	108		Comeback	13.1 [61]		LVP	Aaron Brooks (CHI): -28.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.1,0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.00	32	54%	0.33	5	-0.16	15	80%	-0.02
D.J. Augustin	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	7	71%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	0.00	19	62%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Morrow	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.00	6	43%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mitch McGary	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	10	30%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.87	0.87	0.18	0.69	0.01	10	95%	0.87	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.33	0.33	0.08	0.24	-0.01	15	57%	0.38	1	-0.05	16	87%	0.10
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	17	58%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	19	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.00	4	87%	0.08	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.10	-0.18	0.00	8	33%	-0.16	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.8	29.4	18.2	23.6	0.1	38.6	141.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +50.2%

CHI +8.6%

OKC -13.1%

CHI +4.7%

OKC -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	CHI	NBA	OKC	CHI	NBA
this game	14.3	15.1	15.1	107.1	110.2	104.2
season	14.5	15.5		105.7	105.4
opponent	15.2	15.0		102.5	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.4	13.5	14.8	16.8	14.3
CHI	16.4	15.3	15.2	13.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Singler	31	31	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.01	9	-12	21	14.2	14.4	-0.26	15.8	14.7	1.15
Nick Collison	34	32	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.13	3	-6	9	16.6	13.2	3.40	15.7	14.8	0.90
Anthony Morrow	46	46	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-6	9	13.8	14.8	-1.09	15.5	14.7	0.85
Enes Kanter	62	65	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.08	-2	-1	-1	13.6	15.7	-2.10	15.0	15.2	-0.24
Mitch McGary	5	5	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	1	-5	18.2	14.1	4.07	10.2	15.3	-5.11
Andre Roberson	49	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-7	11	12.6	16.1	-3.53	15.7	14.4	1.25
D.J. Augustin	36	36	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	8	-19	16.9	12.8	4.12	14.1	15.6	-1.44
Serge Ibaka	93	93	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-4	5	14.1	18.2	-4.07	15.3	10.2	5.11
Dion Waiters	54	54	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.37	-7	4	-11	15.2	13.3	1.85	14.3	16.0	-1.64
Perry Jones	1	0	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.58	-3	0	-3	1.0	14.5	-13.47	0.0	15.1	-15.05
Russell Westbrook	79	80	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.46	-8	5	-13	13.9	16.2	-2.26	14.8	16.0	-1.16

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
E'Twaun Moore	45	47	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.44	17	-14	31	13.9	16.0	-2.15	14.9	13.8	1.03
Mike Dunleavy	77	77	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.46	11	-8	19	14.7	16.2	-1.51	14.5	13.6	0.91
Nikola Mirotic	69	69	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.39	12	-9	21	14.7	15.8	-1.10	14.6	13.7	0.97
Pau Gasol	67	66	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.50	-5	8	-13	14.9	15.3	-0.35	13.3	16.5	-3.21
Tony Snell	60	60	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.60	-13	16	-29	15.5	14.3	1.24	13.5	15.6	-2.07
Joakim Noah	60	61	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.07	-1	4	-5	15.5	14.3	1.29	15.1	13.0	2.15
Aaron Brooks	52	50	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.08	-1	4	-5	15.1	15.0	0.06	13.6	15.1	-1.59
Doug McDermott	16	15	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	8	-13	16.4	14.8	1.58	13.7	14.5	-0.79
Kirk Hinrich	44	45	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.18	0	3	-3	15.6	14.6	1.06	15.6	13.3	2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.07,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.09,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 103, PHX 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,1	92.1%
WAS 95, MIN 97	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.22,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.17,1	91.0%
CHI 84, TOR 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.1,0.15,1	90.3%