NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	95		Excitement	7.1 [404]		MVP	Tom Gugliotta (MIN): +9.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Comeback	69.9 [16]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -23.1%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gheorghe Muresan	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	87%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Tim Legler	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	4	100%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	13	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	11	82%	0.01
Harvey Grant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.1	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	15	53%	0.03	5	-0.13	2	0%	-0.03
Calbert Cheaney	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	8	53%	0.04	3	-0.16	1	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	-0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.23	0.00	-0.23	0.01	14	64%	-0.11	4	-0.13	5	100%	0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,0.09	0.09	-0.05	0.14	-0.00	17	47%	0.17	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.03	16	56%	0.15	2	-0.10	7	86%	0.03
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Jordan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	7	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	13	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.07
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.12	0.00	8	67%	-0.03	3	-0.10	8	75%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.3	26.5	16.6	25.0	1.7	43.5	140.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +14.8%

MIN +8.5%

MIN +16.0%

MIN +11.0%

WAS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIN	NBA	WAS	MIN	NBA
this game	15.6	17.2	15.6	108.0	110.2	104.4
season	14.8	15.5		104.3	103.3
opponent	15.5	15.8		105.3	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.5	15.6	15.2	15.8	15.6
MIN	15.8	17.1	20.8	15.5	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gheorghe Muresan	40	40	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.05	6	-8	14	14.5	16.4	-1.94	19.5	15.2	4.36
Chris Whitney	14	13	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.05	3	-5	8	12.1	16.2	-4.14	18.5	16.9	1.51
Tim Legler	27	28	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-5	8	15.0	15.8	-0.86	18.3	16.6	1.64
Harvey Grant	34	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	3	-8	15.9	15.4	0.48	17.2	17.2	-0.01
Tracy Murray	38	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-2	2	14.6	16.3	-1.63	16.1	18.1	-2.01
Juwan Howard	75	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	6	-14	16.3	11.5	4.71	17.2	17.1	0.12
Chris Webber	77	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.56	1	-3	4	15.8	14.2	1.57	16.7	20.4	-3.65
Rod Strickland	74	75	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.49	-5	3	-8	16.2	12.1	4.14	16.9	18.5	-1.51
Calbert Cheaney	61	61	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.50	-5	3	-8	15.8	15.0	0.86	16.4	19.0	-2.59

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Gugliotta	71	70	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.47	11	-9	20	16.3	21.0	-4.75	15.7	14.9	0.77
Sam Mitchell	59	60	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-8	18	16.6	18.2	-1.60	15.2	16.4	-1.17
Stephon Marbury	70	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	-1	4	17.7	15.2	2.45	15.9	14.1	1.82
Kevin Garnett	68	69	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.42	0	2	-2	17.7	15.2	2.55	15.8	14.8	0.98
Doug West	48	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	1	0	16.2	18.3	-2.16	16.0	15.1	0.93
Reggie Jordan	3	2	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.16	2	0	2	5.3	17.6	-12.25	10.5	15.7	-5.17
James Robinson	40	41	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.16	1	1	0	18.3	16.2	2.16	15.3	15.8	-0.45
Terry Porter	16	17	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	5	-8	16.1	17.4	-1.28	14.0	15.9	-1.93
Dean Garrett	40	39	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.03	-2	4	-6	18.0	16.5	1.57	16.5	14.8	1.67
Cherokee Parks	9	9	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.08	-8	10	-18	14.4	17.5	-3.04	13.9	15.7	-1.86
Stojko Vrankovic	16	17	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.05	-5	7	-12	21.2	16.3	4.91	14.1	15.9	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.22,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.17,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 103, PHX 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,1	92.6%
DET 111, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.43,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.21,0.28,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.27,1	91.7%
MEM 98, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.26,0.16,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.13,0.28,1	91.2%