NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	103		Excitement	7.1 [451]		MVP	Devin Booker (PHX): +53.2%
Phoenix Suns	104		Comeback	231.6 [5]		LVP	Taurean Prince (ATL): -29.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kent Bazemore	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.08	0.02	8	111%	0.29	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.05	0.00	15	60%	0.17	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.00	0.00	11	70%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
John Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Malcolm Delaney	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	3	14%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Tyler Cavanaugh	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18	-0.06	-0.09	0.04	17	50%	-0.00	5	-0.18	6	83%	0.02
Taurean Prince	-0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.29	-0.11	-0.19	-0.01	14	28%	-0.25	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.53	0.53	0.06	0.46	-0.01	17	69%	0.71	8	-0.18	15	93%	0.27
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.18	0.07	-0.02	21	74%	0.29	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	6	77%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	12	61%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Tyler Ulis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.6	27.3	15.3	25.6	1.7	43.0	137.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +38.0%

PHX +35.4%

ATL -7.7%

ATL -9.7%

ATL -6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHX	NBA	ATL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.4	14.0	14.7	106.2	105.1	107.5
season	14.6	14.2		104.2	102.6
opponent	14.3	14.4		111.8	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.7	15.6	16.0	15.5	15.4
PHX	16.7	13.8	16.0	10.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	56	55	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.17	8	-9	17	15.1	15.9	-0.87	14.6	13.2	1.44
Tyler Cavanaugh	30	30	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.10	6	-7	13	15.1	15.6	-0.47	13.0	14.4	-1.41
Isaiah Taylor	27	27	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.13	4	-5	9	15.7	15.3	0.44	13.2	14.3	-1.09
John Collins	39	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.16	-6	5	-11	16.4	14.7	1.69	14.0	14.0	-0.05
Marco Belinelli	39	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	5	-11	16.5	14.7	1.82	14.3	13.7	0.62
Malcolm Delaney	28	27	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	0	-1	16.1	15.2	0.91	13.4	14.2	-0.74
Taurean Prince	67	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.61	2	-3	5	14.9	16.6	-1.75	13.8	14.4	-0.61
Kent Bazemore	62	63	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.66	0	-1	1	14.7	16.7	-1.93	13.6	14.6	-0.95
Dennis Schroder	70	72	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.60	-5	4	-9	15.3	15.7	-0.44	14.3	13.2	1.09
Ersan Ilyasova	67	69	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.57	-7	6	-13	15.6	15.1	0.47	14.4	13.0	1.41

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	90	88	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.44	10	-9	19	13.0	24.1	-11.14	15.6	13.6	2.06
Troy Daniels	42	41	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.53	7	-6	13	13.3	14.5	-1.16	15.4	15.4	0.03
Marquese Chriss	71	70	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.58	5	-4	9	13.7	14.7	-1.07	15.3	15.9	-0.59
TJ Warren	78	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.57	-2	3	-5	14.5	11.9	2.63	15.1	16.8	-1.74
Isaiah Canaan	41	37	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.78	-12	13	-25	14.7	13.5	1.24	15.5	15.4	0.10
Tyson Chandler	51	52	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.20	8	-7	15	14.4	13.6	0.81	15.5	15.3	0.21
Tyler Ulis	49	50	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.11	3	-2	5	14.2	13.7	0.48	15.2	15.7	-0.46
Dragan Bender	28	27	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.10	-4	5	-9	14.7	13.7	1.07	15.9	15.3	0.59
Alex Len	45	43	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.13	-10	11	-21	14.3	13.7	0.57	15.7	15.2	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 95, MIN 97	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.22,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.17,1	92.6%
OKC 105, CHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.07,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.09,1	92.1%
CLE 90, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.43,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.15,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.16,1	91.7%