NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Excitement	8.5 [181]		MVP	Tim Thomas (MIL): +10.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	91		Comeback	25.4 [65]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -30.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brevin Knight	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.10	0.02	9	47%	0.11	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.02
Mark Bryant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.06	-0.01	9	50%	0.09	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Lamond Murray	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	12	42%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Person	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Cedric Henderson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.14	-0.00	-0.13	0.00	7	53%	0.05	1	-0.19	1	0%	-0.03
Bob Sura	-0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,-0.18	0.08	-0.25	0.01	14	63%	-0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.31	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.28,-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.00	10	36%	-0.14	7	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.10	0.01	6	65%	0.13	1	-0.03	8	62%	0.07
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	75%	0.12	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	15	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	10	100%	0.11
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Haywoode Workman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.11	0.03	17	46%	-0.12	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	14	39%	-0.10	3	-0.09	10	70%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	2.4	28.4	14.8	28.0	1.6	41.5	137.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -17.2%

MIL +67.7%

CLE -8.4%

MIL +30.6%

CLE -22.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.4	15.2	92.8	92.9	101.7
season	14.1	14.9		98.0	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.3		105.1	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.3	16.1	14.0	17.2	15.1
MIL	17.3	13.9	13.7	12.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bryant	67	67	0.52	-1.02	1.54	0.23	10	-11	21	15.2	15.0	0.16	15.7	11.7	4.02
Mark Hendrickson	17	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-1	1	13.4	15.5	-2.13	11.5	15.1	-3.59
Shawn Kemp	42	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.13	-9	8	-17	15.5	14.8	0.68	15.1	13.9	1.27
Cedric Henderson	45	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.30	4	-5	9	14.8	15.4	-0.63	14.8	14.1	0.69
Wesley Person	34	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	9	-19	14.8	15.3	-0.49	12.6	15.4	-2.75
Bob Sura	65	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.53	9	-10	19	14.9	15.6	-0.76	15.2	12.7	2.49
Andre Miller	50	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	0	-1	15.5	14.7	0.84	13.7	15.2	-1.53
Andrew DeClercq	63	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.47	1	-2	3	16.2	13.1	3.07	13.9	15.5	-1.68
Brevin Knight	47	47	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.50	0	-1	1	14.7	15.5	-0.84	14.9	14.0	0.98
Lamond Murray	55	54	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.58	-9	8	-17	14.8	15.5	-0.64	14.0	15.0	-0.95

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	55	57	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.51	13	-12	25	14.4	14.5	-0.07	15.2	14.9	0.32
Ray Allen	72	73	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.46	10	-9	19	14.8	13.5	1.26	15.7	13.2	2.48
Sam Cassell	68	70	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.46	6	-5	11	13.8	15.9	-2.12	14.9	15.7	-0.82
Tim Thomas	65	64	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.59	1	0	1	13.4	16.5	-3.10	16.0	13.5	2.47
Glenn Robinson	74	75	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.50	0	1	-1	15.0	12.6	2.44	15.3	14.5	0.73
J.R. Reid	21	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	1	-1	12.7	14.9	-2.18	13.8	15.4	-1.57
Haywoode Workman	16	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	5	-9	15.2	14.3	0.91	14.5	15.2	-0.77
Scott Williams	43	42	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.00	-8	9	-17	16.2	13.1	3.09	14.2	15.8	-1.59
Danny Manning	36	35	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.16	-3	4	-7	14.1	14.6	-0.59	14.7	15.3	-0.58
Vinny Del Negro	40	36	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.03	-10	11	-21	14.6	14.3	0.33	14.6	15.4	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.43,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.15,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 98, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.26,0.16,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.13,0.28,1	93.1%
DET 111, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.43,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.21,0.28,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.27,1	92.0%
ATL 103, PHX 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,1	91.7%