NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	98		Excitement	10.2 [56]		MVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): +94.9%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	16.4 [70]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -33.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.31	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.31	0.15	0.17	0.01	27	58%	0.31	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
O.J. Mayo	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0.28	-0.07	0.35	0.00	10	40%	0.50	2	-0.22	5	80%	0.01
Tony Allen	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	6	62%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Greivis Vasquez	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.01	2	60%	0.07	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Sam Young	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Marc Gasol	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	0.02	-0.00	13	34%	-0.02	4	-0.10	6	50%	-0.04
Rudy Gay	-0.34	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.34	-0.08	-0.26	0.00	17	42%	-0.23	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.95	0.95	0.02	0.93	0.00	17	54%	1.03	3	-0.08	5	60%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.07	-0.00	12	75%	0.29	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.17	0.17	-0.01	0.17	0.00	16	52%	0.26	3	-0.09	8	62%	0.02
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	75%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.06	0.01	6	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Jeter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	6	47%	-0.00	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.2	33.5	15.4	26.4	1.7	41.7	148.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +58.7%

SAC +26.4%

MEM -31.6%

MEM -3.8%

SAC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAC	NBA	MEM	SAC	NBA
this game	15.5	14.3	15.5	102.1	103.1	105.7
season	15.5	14.9		106.1	102.1
opponent	14.9	15.5		107.7	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.4	13.5	16.3	18.1	15.5
SAC	15.0	15.3	13.7	13.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	77	79	0.40	-0.90	1.31	0.20	7	-9	16	16.2	12.7	3.48	15.3	10.2	5.10
Darrell Arthur	27	30	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.12	1	-3	4	13.0	16.5	-3.57	15.5	13.8	1.71
Greivis Vasquez	27	30	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.08	-1	-1	0	13.3	16.4	-3.11	15.0	14.0	0.94
Sam Young	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-2	2	14.3	15.7	-1.32	11.8	14.6	-2.80
Hasheem Thabeet	9	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	4	-10	15.1	15.6	-0.46	10.3	14.7	-4.39
O.J. Mayo	57	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.49	4	-6	10	15.2	16.1	-0.88	14.3	14.3	-0.04
Mike Conley	69	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.53	-1	-1	0	16.4	13.3	3.11	14.0	15.0	-0.94
Zach Randolph	74	73	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.54	-4	2	-6	16.3	13.0	3.34	13.8	15.8	-2.01
Rudy Gay	82	80	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.51	-5	3	-8	16.1	12.4	3.72	13.9	16.1	-2.18
Tony Allen	49	52	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.53	-5	3	-8	14.5	16.6	-2.09	14.6	14.0	0.68

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	79	79	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.46	12	-10	22	14.0	15.8	-1.79	15.8	14.2	1.65
Samuel Dalembert	47	46	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.55	2	0	2	14.5	14.2	0.29	18.0	13.3	4.66
Omri Casspi	39	38	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-10	22	14.1	14.5	-0.45	15.1	15.8	-0.66
Francisco Garcia	54	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.56	-3	5	-8	13.9	14.8	-0.85	15.9	15.1	0.78
DeMarcus Cousins	73	73	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	-7	16	14.2	14.7	-0.46	15.8	14.7	1.16
Tyreke Evans	77	76	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.53	-8	10	-18	14.6	13.4	1.16	15.4	16.1	-0.78
Jason Thompson	30	30	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	0	2	15.2	13.9	1.27	14.9	15.8	-0.92
Darnell Jackson	3	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	4	-6	7.7	14.5	-6.87	14.0	15.6	-1.56
Donte Greene	7	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	8	-14	13.7	14.4	-0.65	12.5	15.8	-3.31
Pooh Jeter	36	36	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.16	2	0	2	15.2	13.8	1.35	15.2	15.7	-0.54
Carl Landry	40	38	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.04	-10	12	-22	14.5	14.2	0.31	13.2	17.0	-3.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.26,0.16,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.13,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 90, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.43,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.15,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.16,1	93.1%
WAS 95, MIN 97	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.22,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.17,1	91.2%
DET 111, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.43,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.21,0.28,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.27,1	91.1%