NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	84		Excitement	6.9 [450]		MVP	Dee Brown (TOR): +43.5%
Toronto Raptors	85		Comeback	113.9 [26]		LVP	Chris Carr (CHI): -32.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
B.J. Armstrong	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	64%	0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	73%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Matt Maloney	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Corey Benjamin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	17	57%	0.08	3	-0.09	8	75%	0.00
Will Perdue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	8	22%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Ruffin	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	3	60%	0.03	4	-0.16	4	50%	-0.02
Fred Hoiberg	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.33	-0.04	-0.30	-0.01	13	52%	-0.25	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.43	0.43	0.03	0.41	0.00	4	62%	0.43	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	8	81%	0.11	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	14	43%	0.01	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	44%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.12	-0.12	0.04	-0.13	0.03	16	64%	0.02	3	-0.14	7	86%	0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	10	25%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.0	32.1	19.8	23.2	2.7	42.1	146.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +45.9%

CHI -2.6%

CHI -16.0%

TOR +21.1%

TOR +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	TOR	NBA	CHI	TOR	NBA
this game	16.9	16.4	15.2	97.7	97.7	101.7
season	16.5	15.5		91.8	101.8
opponent	14.9	14.9		102.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.0	17.0	19.1	17.9	16.9
TOR	16.6	16.4	18.8	14.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	73	74	0.36	-0.86	1.22	0.27	3	-4	7	16.5	19.3	-2.86	17.3	11.4	5.91
Chris Anstey	17	21	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.09	4	-5	9	19.6	16.2	3.44	14.7	17.0	-2.30
Will Perdue	3	3	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-3	5	18.7	16.8	1.85	19.3	16.3	3.02
Corey Benjamin	12	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	1	-3	17.8	16.7	1.10	12.4	17.1	-4.64
Matt Maloney	45	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.13	-9	8	-17	17.7	16.0	1.78	16.6	16.2	0.40
Chris Carr	54	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.70	17	-18	35	14.8	20.4	-5.61	17.2	15.0	2.19
B.J. Armstrong	41	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.60	8	-9	17	16.0	17.7	-1.78	16.2	16.6	-0.40
Elton Brand	77	75	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.49	-6	5	-11	16.9	17.0	-0.13	16.0	18.7	-2.71
Fred Hoiberg	62	61	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.55	-8	7	-15	17.0	16.6	0.36	16.5	16.2	0.26
Hersey Hawkins	46	47	-0.96	0.46	-1.41	-0.55	-14	13	-27	18.5	15.0	3.52	16.2	16.7	-0.48

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	38	39	1.03	-0.53	1.55	0.82	7	-6	13	16.8	16.1	0.76	16.0	17.6	-1.62
Antonio Davis	47	48	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.61	9	-8	17	15.5	17.5	-1.96	17.1	16.6	0.45
Vince Carter	69	71	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.49	13	-12	25	15.9	18.4	-2.49	17.4	14.3	3.17
Dee Brown	24	23	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.53	9	-8	17	13.6	17.5	-3.91	17.9	16.5	1.35
Tracy McGrady	74	73	0.66	-0.15	0.81	0.54	4	-3	7	16.5	16.1	0.40	16.8	17.3	-0.50
Charles Oakley	47	47	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.09	-2	3	-5	17.5	15.1	2.43	17.0	16.7	0.26
Michael Stewart	6	5	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	6	-11	17.7	16.3	1.35	14.6	17.0	-2.42
Muggsy Bogues	46	44	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.16	-10	11	-21	17.5	15.2	2.35	16.4	17.4	-1.02
Kevin Willis	42	40	-0.45	0.95	-1.41	-0.07	-13	14	-27	17.5	15.4	2.10	16.3	17.4	-1.14
Dell Curry	42	40	-0.50	1.00	-1.51	-0.30	-7	8	-15	15.7	17.1	-1.44	17.4	16.4	0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.1,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 88, TOR 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.41,1	91.1%
POR 86, MEM 88	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.32,0.35,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.41,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.23,0.27,1	91.1%
ORL 109, MIL 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.42,1	90.6%