inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 109 Excitement8.0 [242] MVPMonta Ellis (MIL): +43.2%
Milwaukee Bucks 115 Comeback25.5 [102] LVPBrandon Jennings (MIL): -6.2%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.040.06-0.011662%0.173-0.0500%0.00
Arron Afflalo0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.01-0.012057%0.203-0.13250%-0.00
Beno Udrih0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.00850%0.0200.0000%0.00
E'Twaun Moore0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tobias Harris0.000,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,00.01-0.03-0.02864%0.103-0.10683%0.01
Doron Lamb0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Maurice Harkless-0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0,00.09-0.11-0.011759%0.021-0.02560%-0.08
Jameer Nelson-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.11,0.11,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.021940%0.001-0.03250%-0.01
Kyle O'Quinn-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.430.430.170.270.012275%0.586-0.148100%0.04
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.12,0.24,0.240.240.100.13-0.001367%0.261-0.024100%0.02
Larry Sanders0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.070.07-0.030.10-0.001348%0.163-0.091100%0.01
Ekpe Udoh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00470%0.051-0.03250%-0.01
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.01550%0.041-0.032100%0.01
John Henson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.02-0.01337%0.0100.00250%-0.01
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01-0.01-0.020.01-0.00533%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.001040%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Jennings0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.06-0.001543%-0.041-0.02580%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.329.515.522.22.035.2130.2
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +36.3%
MIL +11.9%
MIL +2.8%
MIL +2.2%
ORL -3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMILNBAORLMILNBA
this game14.414.415.4109.0115.0104.1
season15.514.7100.3101.6
opponent15.315.3103.9107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL12.713.516.215.614.4
MIL13.915.315.113.214.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tobias Harris65660.17-0.670.850.112-81015.013.31.7514.713.80.89
Kyle O'Quinn11120.13-0.630.76-0.015-111613.114.6-1.4913.214.5-1.38
Beno Udrih38370.08-0.580.650.13-2-4214.714.20.4714.414.4-0.00
Doron Lamb15140.02-0.520.550.020-6614.514.40.1313.114.6-1.52
Maurice Harkless8989-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.38-4-2-214.315.3-0.9614.612.71.86
Jameer Nelson8282-0.550.05-0.60-0.38-60-614.016.6-2.6014.713.01.68
Nikola Vucevic8787-0.590.09-0.67-0.35-82-1014.315.2-0.9314.612.81.76
Arron Afflalo8282-0.610.11-0.72-0.34-93-1214.414.7-0.3014.613.31.28
E'Twaun Moore3131-0.660.16-0.82-0.43-82-1015.214.11.1712.215.4-3.22

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
JJ Redick48460.82-0.321.150.3815-92414.114.6-0.4915.413.61.84
Larry Sanders68690.75-0.251.010.3414-82214.514.00.5114.115.2-1.12
Monta Ellis82850.65-0.150.800.3610-41414.314.6-0.2814.513.90.65
Ersan Ilyasova73740.56-0.060.620.4151415.212.23.0114.115.4-1.30
Brandon Jennings92920.440.060.390.3633014.315.6-1.3514.217.4-3.21
Marquis Daniels4444-0.040.54-0.58-0.1024-214.714.10.5414.414.4-0.02
John Henson1312-0.130.63-0.770.04-612-1813.614.5-0.8814.014.5-0.48
Ekpe Udoh3231-0.250.75-1.01-0.02-814-2214.014.5-0.5115.214.11.12
Mike Dunleavy4847-0.300.80-1.10-0.15-511-1613.615.1-1.4514.414.40.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOK 88, TOR 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.41,192.1%
CHA 100, MIL 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.36,0.21,0.43,0.47,192.0%
ORL 88, BOS 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.21,0.33,0.74,191.9%