inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 94 Excitement6.7 [472] MVPReggie Jackson (OKC): +24.5%
Miami Heat 86 Comeback2.1 [809] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -15.0%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Jackson0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.250.100.14-0.00989%0.312-0.0700%0.00
Anthony Morrow0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.080.060.00967%0.1300.0000%0.00
Steven Adams0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.050.050.020.02767%0.081-0.0310%-0.02
Andre Roberson0.020,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.01462%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Russell Westbrook0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01-0.030.03-0.001750%0.063-0.06475%0.00
Nick Collison-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Kendrick Perkins-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.020.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Dion Waiters-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.110.00-0.00915%-0.1000.00250%-0.01
Serge Ibaka-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.001045%0.034-0.1400%0.00
Kevin Durant-0.110,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.04-0.09-0.012439%-0.1100.001100%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.080.080.030.04-0.01658%0.0800.0000%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.025100%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.05-0.01650%0.072-0.03475%0.01
Danny Granger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.020.020.05-0.000.03575%0.041-0.02250%-0.02
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.01-0.02540%0.0110.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shabazz Napier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01-0.00362%0.042-0.062100%0.01
Shawne Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.030.00437%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.01467%0.044-0.101100%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.07-0.021253%0.074-0.15683%0.02
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.09-0.07-0.001845%-0.044-0.11450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.02.031.215.726.72.829.4133.9
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +9.5%
MIA -6.0%
OKC +19.0%
OKC +23.6%
OKC +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMIANBAOKCMIANBA
this game14.915.915.1100.092.5104.2
season14.516.0105.7102.4
opponent15.315.0105.4103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.614.415.915.914.9
MIA14.715.617.616.115.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Reggie Jackson49490.67-0.170.850.1717-92615.813.81.9915.916.0-0.15
Kevin Durant76770.450.050.400.0414-62014.516.3-1.8216.712.44.31
Serge Ibaka59600.400.100.310.2362414.016.4-2.4116.514.91.65
Steven Adams35350.310.190.110.2526-414.315.2-0.9616.715.51.28
Kendrick Perkins47460.290.210.08-0.0311-31415.714.01.6415.516.4-0.93
Russell Westbrook68670.290.210.080.2326-414.316.3-1.9516.514.42.11
Anthony Morrow36340.120.38-0.270.15-19-1015.414.50.9013.817.2-3.44
Andre Roberson28280.040.46-0.410.07-19-1014.615.0-0.3616.515.70.79
Nick Collison19170.030.47-0.440.15-412-1615.714.71.0313.716.4-2.74
Dion Waiters5352-0.100.60-0.710.07-614-2015.314.31.0115.216.9-1.67

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shawne Williams1313-0.02-0.480.46-0.051-91016.815.80.9616.814.62.21
Udonis Haslem1313-0.08-0.420.35-0.111-91014.616.2-1.5514.215.0-0.73
Hassan Whiteside2322-0.09-0.410.32-0.03-2-6416.115.90.2414.315.0-0.77
Mario Chalmers5655-0.16-0.340.18-0.10-2-6416.115.80.3114.515.4-0.98
Shabazz Napier3031-0.20-0.300.09-0.12-3-5214.616.6-1.9415.414.60.83
Dwyane Wade6666-0.24-0.260.02-0.18-2-6416.514.71.8014.715.1-0.40
Danny Granger4849-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.11-5-3-215.116.8-1.7416.113.52.55
Chris Bosh7375-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.15-6-2-415.816.3-0.5114.516.3-1.76
Chris Andersen5455-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.10-80-816.115.70.4815.014.60.42
Luol Deng5555-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.24-5-3-216.714.91.7814.016.1-2.03
Norris Cole3436-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.13-91-1015.916.0-0.1015.214.60.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.15,0.3,0.17,0.27,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.28,0.04,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 103, BOS 960.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.1,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.4,0.4,0.25,0.36,0.15,0.08,093.2%
CHH 109, GSW 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.46,0.34,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.09,0.04,093.1%
UTA 97, LAC 950.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.2,0.36,0.15,0.05,092.3%