NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	8.0 [264]		MVP	Joe Johnson (UTA): +48.6%
LA Clippers	95		Comeback	1.9 [314]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): -18.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.49	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.49	0.14	0.35	0.00	14	75%	0.52	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	10	62%	0.16	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.10
George Hill	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	13	57%	0.13	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	87%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.04	-0.02	18	46%	0.11	5	-0.14	5	100%	0.05
Shelvin Mack	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.35	0.35	0.10	0.26	0.01	19	60%	0.37	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	5	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	21	54%	0.16	6	-0.18	6	100%	0.07
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.00	6	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	6	54%	0.04	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.09	0.01	12	33%	-0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.1	2.8	30.2	16.4	25.7	3.7	33.2	143.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +46.1%

LAC -13.5%

UTA +6.3%

UTA +0.2%

UTA +10.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	17.1	14.6	14.8	106.6	104.4	107.7
season	16.1	15.0		108.0	110.8
opponent	14.8	15.0		106.6	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.4	15.4	16.7	19.8	17.1
LAC	14.9	15.9	14.6	12.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	76	77	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.36	7	-5	12	16.4	20.2	-3.77	14.7	14.1	0.62
Joe Johnson	58	61	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.36	6	-4	10	17.1	17.0	0.13	14.0	15.8	-1.80
Derrick Favors	61	60	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.39	0	2	-2	16.8	17.5	-0.66	15.1	13.6	1.54
George Hill	68	70	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.41	-3	5	-8	17.1	16.9	0.19	15.1	12.9	2.26
Rodney Hood	37	37	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	-5	12	18.0	16.4	1.59	13.9	15.1	-1.14
Joe Ingles	62	61	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.43	-6	8	-14	17.2	16.7	0.54	14.8	14.1	0.74
Shelvin Mack	30	28	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	1	0	17.0	17.1	-0.08	13.4	15.1	-1.73
Boris Diaw	45	42	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	2	-2	17.5	16.6	0.95	14.9	14.3	0.62
Rudy Gobert	1	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	2	-2	13.0	17.1	-4.10	20.0	14.5	5.47
Jeff Withey	17	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	4	-6	16.6	17.1	-0.50	13.8	14.8	-1.02

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	6	6	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.01	2	-4	6	15.7	14.5	1.15	11.5	17.4	-5.95
Marreese Speights	26	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-2	2	13.5	15.0	-1.48	20.2	15.9	4.34
Luc Mbah a Moute	68	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	2	-6	14.5	15.0	-0.54	16.7	18.1	-1.44
Jamal Crawford	54	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.56	12	-14	26	14.0	15.4	-1.37	18.0	15.6	2.43
Chris Paul	70	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-3	4	14.6	14.5	0.15	16.8	17.9	-1.07
DeAndre Jordan	69	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-2	2	14.9	13.6	1.26	16.5	19.0	-2.47
Raymond Felton	28	29	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	3	-8	14.7	14.5	0.17	17.4	16.9	0.48
JJ Redick	53	52	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	8	-18	15.2	13.7	1.52	16.7	17.6	-0.89
Blake Griffin	81	81	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.42	-6	4	-10	14.6	14.6	-0.01	17.0	17.6	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.2,0.36,0.15,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 88, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.27,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.03,0.02,0	92.9%
ATL 120, MIL 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.11,0.05,0.04,0	92.6%
OKC 94, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.15,0.3,0.17,0.27,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.28,0.04,0,0	92.3%