NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	109		Excitement	7.4 [338]		MVP	Glen Rice (CHH): +27.8%
Golden State Warriors	101		Comeback	2.1 [344]		LVP	Dell Curry (CHH): -10.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.28	0.17	0.12	0.01	25	67%	0.37	2	-0.09	8	100%	0.04
Tony Delk	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	8	81%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.02	16	59%	0.07	0	0.00	14	93%	0.09
Vlade Divac	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	11	56%	0.01	1	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
George Zidek	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	3	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Anthony Goldwire	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Price	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	11	73%	0.18	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.09
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.03	-0.02	20	58%	0.13	2	-0.09	5	100%	0.06
Joe Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.04	-0.00	20	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	89%	0.07	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.03
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Owes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	4	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	9	40%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	23.1	15.6	26.3	2.5	35.6	129.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +20.4%

CHH +11.6%

CHH +14.2%

CHH +1.0%

CHH +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	GSW	NBA	CHH	GSW	NBA
this game	16.2	14.7	15.6	117.2	108.6	104.4
season	15.7	15.0		108.0	104.4
opponent	15.4	16.0		109.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	17.0	14.2	18.5	15.5	16.2
GSW	13.0	15.8	15.0	15.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	91	90	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.29	13	-5	18	16.1	22.0	-5.89	15.0	7.0	7.99
Vlade Divac	77	76	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.23	14	-6	20	16.3	15.8	0.51	15.1	13.3	1.76
Tony Delk	57	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	7	-6	16.2	16.2	0.02	14.1	15.7	-1.62
Anthony Mason	87	87	0.29	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	1	6	16.3	15.8	0.43	14.5	18.3	-3.85
Tony Smith	50	50	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	4	0	16.8	15.6	1.26	13.8	15.8	-1.97
Anthony Goldwire	36	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	1	6	16.2	16.2	-0.02	15.7	14.1	1.62
Dell Curry	45	46	0.12	0.37	-0.25	0.15	-1	9	-10	15.8	16.6	-0.76	15.2	14.3	0.96
George Zidek	22	23	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.20	-5	13	-18	15.8	16.4	-0.55	14.6	14.8	-0.16

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Fuller	21	22	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-11	14	15.3	14.6	0.72	17.9	15.7	2.13
Bimbo Coles	36	34	-0.08	-0.41	0.33	0.01	-3	-5	2	15.1	14.5	0.67	16.6	16.1	0.51
B.J. Armstrong	32	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.00	-3	-5	2	15.1	14.6	0.51	16.1	16.3	-0.20
Andrew DeClercq	12	12	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-1	-6	16.7	14.4	2.22	11.9	16.9	-4.96
Felton Spencer	54	53	-0.24	-0.25	0.01	-0.27	1	-9	10	14.0	15.7	-1.74	17.2	14.9	2.26
Ray Owes	24	24	-0.30	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	3	-14	16.5	14.1	2.33	15.0	16.7	-1.67
Joe Smith	75	75	-0.36	-0.13	-0.23	-0.30	-2	-6	4	14.2	16.8	-2.54	16.2	16.6	-0.40
Mark Price	57	59	-0.41	-0.08	-0.33	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	14.5	15.1	-0.67	16.1	16.6	-0.51
Latrell Sprewell	83	84	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-3	-2	14.5	17.0	-2.54	16.1	17.3	-1.21
Chris Mullin	71	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	0	-8	14.9	14.2	0.72	16.4	15.6	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.46,0.34,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.09,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 96, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.61,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.06,0,0	93.2%
OKC 94, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.15,0.3,0.17,0.27,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.28,0.04,0,0	93.1%
BKN 111, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.02,0	92.6%