NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	111		Excitement	9.5 [125]		MVP	Joe Harris (BKN): +24.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	106		Comeback	1.9 [689]		LVP	LeBron James (LAL): -37.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.21	0.05	0.01	15	76%	0.25	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
DeMarre Carroll	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.01	0.22	-0.01	13	54%	0.29	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.17	0.03	0.14	-0.01	14	47%	0.19	1	-0.03	12	75%	0.03
Ed Davis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	11	64%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	59%	0.07	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.04
Jared Dudley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.18,0.1,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	20	50%	0.16	6	-0.19	2	50%	-0.02
Rodions Kurucs	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	6	0%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaVale McGee	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.10	0.01	20	70%	0.32	3	-0.08	7	43%	-0.11
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	10	45%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	44%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Moritz Wagner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Bonga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnathan Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	19	42%	0.03	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.15,-0.18,-0.27,-0.22,-0.17,-0.22,-0.28,-0.37,-0.37,-0.32,-0.38	-0.38	-0.21	-0.17	-0.00	25	40%	-0.06	8	-0.32	12	67%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	27.4	14.6	30.4	2.3	40.7	142.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +40.5%

BKN +7.1%

LAL -10.3%

BKN +13.8%

LAL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	LAL	NBA	BKN	LAL	NBA
this game	13.6	13.6	14.3	105.7	99.1	109.3
season	14.3	13.5		108.6	107.2
opponent	14.2	14.0		108.7	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	12.9	14.4	12.5	14.6	13.6
LAL	14.2	14.4	13.2	12.6	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D'Angelo Russell	74	76	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.41	11	-6	17	13.2	14.5	-1.22	13.8	13.0	0.82
DeMarre Carroll	77	78	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.31	8	-3	11	13.2	14.8	-1.63	14.0	12.3	1.69
Joe Harris	72	73	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-5	15	13.3	14.3	-0.99	13.2	14.3	-1.05
Jarrett Allen	65	66	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.31	4	1	3	13.3	14.1	-0.82	12.8	14.9	-2.07
Spencer Dinwiddie	66	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	8	-11	14.6	11.8	2.82	12.9	14.8	-1.88
Jared Dudley	35	35	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	4	-3	14.1	13.4	0.70	14.5	13.1	1.39
Ed Davis	40	41	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	5	-5	14.1	13.3	0.82	14.9	12.8	2.07
Rodions Kurucs	56	58	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	4	-3	12.8	14.5	-1.65	13.2	14.1	-0.89
Caris LeVert	40	39	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.07	-7	12	-19	14.6	13.0	1.63	13.8	13.5	0.30

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	25	26	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-8	11	14.0	13.5	0.55	15.2	13.1	2.08
Moritz Wagner	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-5	5	20.0	13.5	6.48	0.0	13.7	-13.72
Johnathan Williams	1	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-2	-1	12.0	13.6	-1.59	19.0	13.5	5.46
Alex Caruso	75	74	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.39	9	-14	23	13.0	15.0	-1.98	14.5	11.4	3.17
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	71	69	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	-0.30	3	-8	11	13.3	14.1	-0.72	14.5	11.8	2.72
Reggie Bullock	65	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	2	-9	14.3	12.4	1.89	12.7	14.9	-2.23
LeBron James	84	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-3	1	13.3	14.6	-1.31	13.5	14.0	-0.46
JaVale McGee	80	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	0	-5	13.4	14.0	-0.51	13.2	14.7	-1.58
Rajon Rondo	54	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.04	-16	11	-27	14.9	12.3	2.61	12.4	14.8	-2.34
Kyle Kuzma	79	78	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.38	-6	1	-7	13.1	14.9	-1.83	13.5	13.9	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 96, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.61,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.06,0,0	92.6%
CHH 109, GSW 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.46,0.34,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.09,0.04,0	92.6%
PHX 119, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	92.4%