NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	98		Excitement	5.6 [693]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (POR): +23.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	102		Comeback	1.1 [868]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): -8.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23	0.18	0.07	0.01	18	69%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.04	0.02	22	59%	0.11	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.05
Steve Blake	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,0	-0.05	0.07	0.02	26	42%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
CJ McCollum	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	9	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	6	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.09	-0.04	13	61%	0.20	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.07	0.02	7	94%	0.22	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.00	14	57%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	14	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	43%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	13	56%	0.07	5	-0.11	10	80%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	30.6	16.3	25.6	2.5	37.5	137.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +44.3%

POR -5.6%

MEM +16.8%

POR -14.2%

MEM +8.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MEM	NBA	POR	MEM	NBA
this game	15.8	15.8	15.1	107.7	112.1	104.2
season	15.3	15.9		106.5	103.8
opponent	15.2	15.0		100.8	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.5	15.5	16.1	13.5	15.8
MEM	15.0	15.8	15.9	16.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorell Wright	29	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.23	7	-11	18	15.8	15.9	-0.10	16.6	15.5	1.17
CJ McCollum	11	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	0	-4	14.5	16.0	-1.56	15.1	15.9	-0.81
Steve Blake	33	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-4	4	15.2	16.2	-0.91	15.7	15.9	-0.27
Thomas Robinson	8	6	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	4	-12	18.0	15.6	2.39	16.5	15.8	0.72
Meyers Leonard	32	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	0	-4	16.1	15.7	0.37	16.5	15.4	1.08
LaMarcus Aldridge	72	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.39	5	-9	14	15.7	16.3	-0.55	15.8	16.0	-0.22
Chris Kaman	59	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-2	0	15.6	16.2	-0.51	15.7	16.1	-0.37
Wesley Matthews	76	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-3	2	15.5	17.4	-1.89	15.5	17.3	-1.73
Nicolas Batum	58	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.21	-9	5	-14	16.2	15.2	0.96	15.5	16.3	-0.80
Damian Lillard	77	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.38	-4	0	-4	16.3	13.4	2.83	16.0	14.9	1.06

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	55	56	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.21	14	-10	24	16.4	14.9	1.50	15.7	16.0	-0.29
Courtney Lee	63	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	-1	6	15.8	15.9	-0.15	15.4	16.9	-1.49
Marc Gasol	76	74	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	0	4	16.2	13.9	2.26	15.6	16.8	-1.23
Zach Randolph	72	73	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.43	-1	5	-6	15.8	16.0	-0.22	15.6	16.8	-1.19
Tony Allen	38	36	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	-1	6	14.2	17.0	-2.73	16.4	15.5	0.93
Kosta Koufos	33	34	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	-4	12	15.5	16.0	-0.44	16.8	15.3	1.50
Jeff Green	57	57	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.42	-8	12	-20	16.2	15.3	0.89	15.2	16.8	-1.55
Vince Carter	28	29	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	3	-2	15.9	15.8	0.15	16.3	15.6	0.71
Nick Calathes	33	33	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.09	-8	12	-20	15.6	15.9	-0.34	16.9	15.2	1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 107, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.96,0.91,1	94.6%
CHA 88, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.92,1	94.5%
MIL 95, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.99,1	94.4%