NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	95		Excitement	5.2 [791]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +27.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	99		Comeback	1.1 [1081]		LVP	Ersan Ilyasova (MIL): -14.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Bell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	-0.02	0.02	14	68%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Earl Boykins	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.00	19	60%	0.12	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.04
Ruben Patterson	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	12	52%	0.03	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.04
Andrew Bogut	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	12	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
David Noel	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lynn Greer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damir Markota	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	11	28%	-0.10	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.24,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.12	-0.01	15	74%	0.35	3	-0.08	8	75%	0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.05	0.00	8	79%	0.18	0	0.00	3	67%	0.02
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	5	74%	0.11	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.03
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	40%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	19	43%	-0.02	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.5	30.4	14.6	24.0	2.7	38.2	140.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +42.0%

POR +12.3%

POR +6.4%

MIL -11.3%

POR +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	POR	NBA	MIL	POR	NBA
this game	15.0	17.2	15.4	106.7	110.0	104.5
season	15.2	16.7		105.3	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		108.3	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.6	14.7	16.8	14.2	15.0
POR	13.1	20.3	17.5	18.5	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lynn Greer	4	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	0	-4	14.0	15.1	-1.06	20.4	17.0	3.44
Dan Gadzuric	17	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-1	-2	13.1	15.5	-2.34	16.6	17.3	-0.68
Damir Markota	22	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-4	4	15.0	15.0	-0.01	19.5	16.4	3.10
David Noel	30	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	2	-8	13.5	15.8	-2.28	17.7	16.9	0.76
Ersan Ilyasova	69	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-9	14	15.9	11.9	3.95	16.7	18.8	-2.16
Charlie Bell	71	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-1	-2	14.9	15.4	-0.47	17.0	17.9	-0.87
Ruben Patterson	66	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-1	-2	15.1	14.8	0.25	17.9	14.8	3.06
Earl Boykins	85	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-4	4	15.1	14.0	1.06	17.0	20.4	-3.44
Andrew Bogut	81	80	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.33	-6	2	-8	15.2	12.6	2.62	16.4	23.1	-6.69

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Roy	75	73	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.31	4	0	4	16.7	19.5	-2.85	14.6	16.7	-2.04
Martell Webster	45	43	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	0	4	18.9	15.4	3.47	14.8	15.2	-0.43
Jamaal Magloire	32	33	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	-3	10	18.0	16.7	1.26	15.0	15.0	-0.02
Zach Randolph	71	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	0	4	16.7	18.7	-2.00	14.7	16.2	-1.60
Jarrett Jack	72	71	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.38	-3	7	-10	17.1	17.3	-0.15	15.1	14.8	0.29
Sergio Rodriguez	23	24	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	0	4	17.2	17.1	0.08	15.6	14.8	0.78
Juan Dixon	18	17	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	-1	6	17.8	17.0	0.78	14.6	15.1	-0.45
LaMarcus Aldridge	27	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	4	-4	15.5	17.9	-2.34	13.9	15.5	-1.56
Ime Udoka	38	39	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.10	-2	6	-8	15.3	18.5	-3.18	15.6	14.5	1.12
Joel Przybilla	22	23	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	4	-4	15.5	17.7	-2.25	18.2	13.9	4.32
Raef LaFrentz	27	26	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	7	-10	21.0	15.5	5.44	14.3	15.3	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 104, PHX 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.79,0.91,0.98,1	95.6%
LAC 84, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.92,1,1,1	95.3%
MIL 87, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.98,1,1,1	94.8%