NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	109		Excitement	6.4 [535]		MVP	Gerald Green (PHX): +25.4%
Phoenix Suns	122		Comeback	1.1 [980]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -8.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.03	0.02	15	68%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Stephen Curry	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.00	20	61%	0.15	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Klay Thompson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	13	57%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jordan Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	44%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	6	36%	-0.04	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.12	0.01	15	71%	0.30	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.26	0.06	0.08	13	94%	0.30	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	10	64%	0.15	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.01	10	55%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	64%	0.10	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	0.02	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	13	50%	0.05	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	34.1	16.3	26.3	1.8	28.0	133.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +42.6%

PHX +14.9%

PHX +6.4%

GSW -14.8%

PHX +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	13.7	16.0	15.1	111.2	127.1	105.2
season	14.2	14.7		105.9	107.7
opponent	14.9	15.3		105.0	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.9	13.8	13.5	14.7	13.7
PHX	14.8	13.3	17.1	19.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Crawford	35	34	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.16	8	-21	29	14.8	13.1	1.72	15.2	16.5	-1.31
Marreese Speights	16	18	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-15	17	10.6	14.3	-3.67	13.2	16.7	-3.51
Kent Bazemore	5	6	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.10	-3	-10	7	6.6	14.1	-7.48	14.8	16.1	-1.27
Harrison Barnes	73	72	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.21	6	-19	25	14.1	12.4	1.68	16.0	16.1	-0.14
Klay Thompson	83	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-3	-7	13.1	17.2	-4.14	16.2	15.1	1.10
Draymond Green	55	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.11	-18	5	-23	13.3	14.2	-0.96	16.2	15.8	0.42
Stephen Curry	81	79	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.11	-15	2	-17	14.4	10.3	4.11	16.5	13.8	2.67
Andre Iguodala	80	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.05	-18	5	-23	13.6	14.1	-0.44	16.3	14.9	1.32
Jermaine O'Neal	61	58	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.13	-17	4	-21	14.6	12.3	2.29	16.4	15.4	1.04

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	69	72	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.09	20	-7	27	17.0	13.4	3.58	13.8	13.4	0.42
Goran Dragic	79	81	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.08	20	-7	27	16.0	16.2	-0.26	13.7	13.9	-0.23
PJ Tucker	82	84	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-1	15	16.1	15.6	0.53	13.2	16.6	-3.36
Leandro Barbosa	42	42	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	7	-1	17.5	14.9	2.67	14.8	12.8	1.99
Markieff Morris	34	35	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	8	-3	17.1	15.4	1.74	12.1	14.6	-2.50
Miles Plumlee	45	44	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	6	1	15.9	16.1	-0.21	14.3	13.2	1.05
Gerald Green	66	67	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	13	-13	14.8	18.7	-3.90	13.3	14.5	-1.16
Marcus Morris	52	52	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	17	-21	14.1	18.3	-4.24	14.1	13.2	0.94
Ish Smith	11	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	16	-19	17.2	15.9	1.31	15.2	13.5	1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.85,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.92,0.87,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 86, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.86,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,1,1	93.7%
POR 97, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.95,1	93.6%
VAN 79, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.83,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.91,1	93.6%