NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	97		Excitement	7.2 [380]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +10.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Comeback	1.2 [892]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (POR): -21.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	5	42%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Trent	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.09	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dontonio Wingfield	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Mitchell Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	62%	0.01	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Chris Dudley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.05
Clifford Robinson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	12	50%	-0.04	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.17	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	21	48%	-0.10	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Kenny Anderson	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.21	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	12	39%	-0.19	1	-0.02	14	79%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	13	71%	0.19	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	75%	0.12	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.03
Doug West	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	14	45%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Shane Heal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	6	19%	-0.12	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.12,-0.16	-0.16	-0.18	0.00	-0.02	19	46%	-0.01	5	-0.15	18	61%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	31.5	15.6	28.0	1.5	44.4	150.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +46.1%

POR -5.0%

MIN +2.1%

POR -2.9%

MIN +9.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	16.0	15.0	15.6	104.3	107.5	104.4
season	15.5	15.5		105.2	103.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		105.3	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.8	15.7	18.7	14.0	16.0
MIN	13.7	16.3	14.0	16.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitchell Butler	1	0	-0.05	-0.44	0.39	0.01	-2	-1	-1	3.0	16.1	-13.13	0.0	15.0	-14.98
Rasheed Wallace	63	62	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	-0.32	6	-9	15	16.5	14.8	1.71	14.6	15.7	-1.15
Chris Dudley	48	46	-0.15	-0.34	0.18	-0.24	3	-6	9	15.9	16.0	-0.11	16.4	13.6	2.75
Dontonio Wingfield	25	25	-0.17	-0.32	0.15	-0.11	-2	-1	-1	14.8	16.4	-1.68	14.4	15.2	-0.79
Arvydas Sabonis	42	44	-0.19	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	1	-5	16.9	15.2	1.71	14.5	15.4	-0.87
Aaron McKie	40	37	-0.24	-0.25	0.01	-0.12	-4	1	-5	15.8	16.1	-0.29	17.0	13.6	3.40
Gary Trent	18	19	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	3	-9	15.2	16.2	-1.02	16.6	14.6	2.08
Kenny Anderson	69	72	-0.31	-0.18	-0.13	-0.40	3	-6	9	15.7	16.7	-0.97	14.9	15.2	-0.27
Isaiah Rider	77	77	-0.43	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	2	-7	16.3	14.5	1.80	14.1	19.4	-5.39
Clifford Robinson	82	83	-0.49	-0.00	-0.49	-0.37	-4	1	-5	15.8	17.2	-1.35	14.5	18.7	-4.17

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Porter	71	70	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.32	9	-6	15	14.6	16.2	-1.58	15.5	17.5	-2.04
Kevin Garnett	78	78	0.49	0.00	0.49	0.32	6	-3	9	14.0	19.9	-5.91	15.9	16.5	-0.57
Tom Gugliotta	81	80	0.46	0.03	0.43	0.37	3	0	3	15.1	14.2	0.93	15.9	16.2	-0.28
Dean Garrett	25	25	0.28	0.21	0.07	0.13	5	-2	7	15.5	14.8	0.69	18.1	15.2	2.86
Doug West	52	54	0.27	0.22	0.05	0.21	2	1	1	15.5	14.3	1.23	16.1	15.9	0.20
Sam Mitchell	51	52	0.27	0.22	0.05	0.42	-5	8	-13	15.8	14.0	1.83	15.4	16.7	-1.24
James Robinson	44	43	0.18	0.31	-0.13	0.24	-2	5	-7	14.5	15.4	-0.91	16.1	15.9	0.28
Stojko Vrankovic	23	20	0.15	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	-4	11	14.6	15.1	-0.49	17.2	15.6	1.61
Shane Heal	0	1	0.05	0.44	-0.39	-0.01	2	1	1	0.0	15.0	-14.98	3.0	16.1	-13.13
Chris Carr	19	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	6	-9	16.0	14.7	1.28	17.3	15.7	1.60
Cherokee Parks	21	23	-0.23	0.72	-0.95	0.04	-9	12	-21	15.9	14.7	1.13	14.9	16.4	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 96, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.95,1,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1	94.1%
GSW 92, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.99,1	93.9%
GSW 86, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.86,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,1,1	93.9%