NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	79		Excitement	6.4 [497]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (VAN): +8.0%
San Antonio Spurs	87		Comeback	1.2 [1198]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -30.4%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.03	12	70%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Tony Massenburg	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	78%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Pete Chilcutt	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	10	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
George Lynch	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.01	15	52%	-0.02	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.05
Blue Edwards	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.30	0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.27,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.3	-0.30	-0.06	-0.05	15	29%	-0.16	7	-0.14	8	62%	-0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.01	14	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	12	48%	-0.03	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.06
Avery Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	16	51%	0.01	2	-0.06	5	20%	-0.06
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	21	48%	-0.03	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	30%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.7	2.7	25.0	15.8	26.3	2.4	31.0	123.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +17.2%

VAN -2.3%

SAS +22.9%

SAS +8.9%

SAS +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	SAS	NBA	VAN	SAS	NBA
this game	15.8	15.2	15.6	85.9	92.6	102.5
season	15.1	15.9		101.3	100.9
opponent	15.9	15.3		97.2	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	14.5	18.7	15.3	15.0	15.8
SAS	13.8	15.6	16.0	15.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Mayberry	26	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-8	8	16.4	15.5	0.85	15.2	15.2	0.03
George Lynch	15	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-5	2	18.7	15.2	3.46	13.3	15.6	-2.22
Tony Massenburg	29	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-8	8	16.8	15.3	1.44	14.9	15.4	-0.49
Anthony Peeler	55	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-6	4	14.2	18.1	-3.82	14.8	15.8	-1.05
Pete Chilcutt	28	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-2	-4	16.4	15.5	0.89	14.2	15.6	-1.44
Otis Thorpe	71	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-5	2	14.9	18.6	-3.63	15.3	14.9	0.38
Blue Edwards	37	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-2	-4	18.1	14.2	3.82	15.8	14.8	1.05
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	69	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-4	0	14.8	18.7	-3.84	15.7	13.6	2.17
Bryant Reeves	64	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	0	-8	16.3	14.5	1.83	15.6	14.4	1.13
Antonio Daniels	66	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	0	-8	15.5	16.4	-0.85	15.2	15.2	-0.03

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Elliott	81	79	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-6	20	15.1	15.7	-0.57	15.9	15.0	0.90
Tim Duncan	70	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	-2	12	15.8	13.6	2.17	15.4	16.8	-1.41
Jaren Jackson	53	50	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.27	5	3	2	15.4	15.0	0.40	15.8	15.8	-0.03
Avery Johnson	60	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	3	2	15.5	14.6	0.96	14.8	17.4	-2.55
David Robinson	61	59	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.21	3	5	-2	15.4	14.8	0.59	15.0	17.2	-2.15
Will Perdue	33	33	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	3	2	14.8	15.4	-0.59	17.2	15.0	2.15
Monty Williams	48	49	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	4	0	14.8	15.6	-0.84	16.1	15.3	0.79
Cory Alexander	34	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	5	-2	14.6	15.5	-0.96	17.4	14.8	2.55
Carl Herrera	24	23	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	10	-12	13.6	15.8	-2.17	16.8	15.4	1.41
Malik Rose	6	6	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	15	-22	18.0	15.0	2.99	11.2	16.1	-4.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.83,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 70, MIA 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.99,0.98,1,1	94.3%
UTA 87, DEN 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.9,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.9,1,1,1,1	94.1%
HOU 100, DAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.91,0.87,1	94.1%