inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 87 Excitement6.2 [545] MVPNick Van Exel (DEN): +8.9%
Denver Nuggets 100 Comeback1.2 [545] LVPBryon Russell (UTA): -20.9%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Stockton0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.01-0.031544%0.041-0.032100%0.01
DeShawn Stevenson0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01844%0.0000.002100%0.01
Karl Malone-0.010,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.04-0.020.032061%0.042-0.051479%0.02
Greg Ostertag-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.012100%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Quincy Lewis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Danny Manning-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Olden Polynice-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.030.00657%0.013-0.0820%-0.03
David Benoit-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.00250%-0.003-0.0900%0.00
Donyell Marshall-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.04-0.011142%-0.052-0.05250%-0.02
Jacque Vaughn-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.15-0.01-0.00233%-0.035-0.12560%-0.00
Bryon Russell-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.15-0.060.00923%-0.152-0.06475%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.010.011966%0.193-0.1000%0.00
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.030.002100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.020.031159%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00-0.022255%0.072-0.061275%0.00
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00175%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Robert Pack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.01-0.02550%0.011-0.002100%0.01
Raef LaFrentz0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01527%-0.0400.001100%0.00
James Posey0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.010.081152%-0.052-0.051100%0.01
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.18-0.04-0.01410%-0.095-0.11250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.82.627.115.429.42.525.5127.5
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +36.8%
UTA -5.3%
DEN +3.7%
DEN +19.6%
UTA -4.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTADENNBAUTADENNBA
this game16.014.015.591.6103.1100.9
season16.015.2105.3101.4
opponent15.215.5104.1100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA17.016.014.916.116.0
DEN14.311.816.413.914.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Manning13140.00-0.500.510.000-131315.216.2-1.0011.614.4-2.84
DeShawn Stevenson5050-0.08-0.420.34-0.142-151715.916.2-0.2614.613.31.32
Greg Ostertag4847-0.15-0.350.200.03-6-7116.415.70.7216.012.13.84
David Benoit3333-0.17-0.330.17-0.05-4-9517.015.51.5512.814.6-1.88
Donyell Marshall4344-0.17-0.330.16-0.05-4-9515.716.3-0.6313.414.5-1.04
Jacque Vaughn3435-0.17-0.330.150.00-6-7115.716.2-0.4912.714.7-2.06
Quincy Lewis1113-0.26-0.24-0.010.04-10-3-715.016.2-1.1513.414.1-0.71
Olden Polynice3940-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.10-6-7115.616.3-0.7812.015.4-3.45
John Stockton6162-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.12-7-6-116.215.70.4914.712.72.06
Karl Malone7173-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.09-12-1-1116.115.70.3614.512.52.05
Bryon Russell7274-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.11-12-1-1116.115.80.2614.412.81.54

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Van Exel78770.460.040.430.0514-11514.213.30.8516.314.81.47
Keon Clark74710.390.110.270.1876113.814.7-0.9116.016.2-0.25
Antonio McDyess68680.370.130.25-0.011301314.712.42.2616.415.11.22
James Posey65630.350.150.200.1767-114.513.11.4015.716.6-0.82
Voshon Lenard66650.330.170.16-0.021211114.812.32.5115.716.7-1.04
George McCloud49480.220.28-0.060.1049-513.114.9-1.8116.415.70.67
Raef LaFrentz42420.170.33-0.160.0258-314.113.90.1315.616.3-0.72
Ryan Bowen12120.100.40-0.29-0.0149-511.314.4-3.0417.015.91.12
Mark Strickland1090.070.43-0.360.04112-1110.714.4-3.6815.816.0-0.27
Robert Pack21200.040.46-0.420.07-114-1513.014.3-1.2215.516.2-0.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.9,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.9,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 105, UTA 1130.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,195.0%
VAN 88, MIN 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,194.9%
CHH 70, MIA 760.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.99,0.98,1,194.3%