inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 104 Excitement9.4 [106] MVPAnthony Tolliver (CHA): +13.4%
Charlotte Bobcats 96 Comeback3.3 [675] LVPRamon Sessions (CHA): -27.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.130,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.08,0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.11,0.130.090.050.002557%0.192-0.061080%0.05
Chris Bosh0.110,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.120.010.021671%0.203-0.09367%-0.01
Rashard Lewis0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.030.00570%0.0800.0000%0.00
Michael Beasley0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00183%0.0500.00450%-0.02
Roger Mason Jr.0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Oden-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.00050%0.001-0.03250%-0.01
Ray Allen-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.050.001152%-0.011-0.041100%0.01
Norris Cole-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.06-0.00625%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.02-0.100.00635%-0.1200.00540%-0.05
Mario Chalmers-0.250,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.08-0.160.01845%-0.095-0.16475%-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.130.130.070.05-0.01779%0.141-0.0100%0.00
Josh McRoberts0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.130.130.050.06-0.02671%0.141-0.012100%0.04
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.010.00387%0.1000.00250%-0.01
Chris Douglas-Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.050.001150%0.0900.0000%0.00
Cody Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.020.00456%0.051-0.021100%0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00383%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01732%-0.021-0.03580%0.01
Gerald Henderson0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.03-0.130.051144%-0.152-0.053100%0.01
Al Jefferson0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.05-0.160.022342%-0.171-0.06633%-0.07
Ramon Sessions0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.12,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.27-0.01-0.260.001067%0.035-0.304100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.22.431.214.725.11.829.11.820.6149.9
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.41.917.6136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA -0.1%
CHA -3.1%
MIA +19.1%
MIA +27.4%
MIA +6.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHANBAMIACHANBA
this game16.816.515.1107.2102.1105.2
season15.615.7109.7102.4
opponent15.115.8103.1105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA18.013.016.321.416.516.8
CHA17.115.814.319.716.916.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ray Allen75740.73-0.230.970.2915-72216.318.3-1.9816.217.5-1.26
LeBron James83790.71-0.210.920.2715-72216.717.1-0.4216.417.3-0.90
Mario Chalmers68640.54-0.040.570.3080817.914.13.7717.215.02.22
Udonis Haslem53490.480.020.460.3353218.414.93.5117.715.22.51
Chris Bosh69680.470.030.440.1511-31416.218.2-2.0116.217.4-1.26
Shane Battier37370.080.42-0.33-0.0653217.116.60.5215.317.3-2.00
Roger Mason Jr.1312-0.030.53-0.56-0.0308-814.217.2-2.9519.216.13.04
Greg Oden1112-0.050.55-0.610.01-210-1211.817.4-5.6013.517.0-3.45
Rashard Lewis2625-0.080.58-0.660.09-614-2018.016.41.6117.816.01.81
Michael Beasley1212-0.110.61-0.720.01-412-1614.517.1-2.6118.516.22.28
Norris Cole3838-0.240.74-0.98-0.04-715-2216.516.9-0.4215.017.5-2.54

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Douglas-Roberts9100.11-0.610.730.052-101217.816.41.4021.716.25.48
Kemba Walker43440.10-0.600.70-0.024-121615.217.6-2.4415.717.7-2.06
Bismack Biyombo19170.08-0.580.66-0.013-111416.816.40.4215.917.0-1.09
Ramon Sessions54550.07-0.570.640.012-101217.515.22.2417.815.42.43
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist3032-0.17-0.330.160.06-80-815.317.1-1.8316.417.0-0.61
Cody Zeller2426-0.20-0.300.11-0.08-4-4016.916.40.4918.316.22.03
Josh McRoberts7071-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.19-4-4016.416.9-0.4916.218.3-2.03
Anthony Tolliver6465-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.330-8817.115.31.8317.016.40.61
Al Jefferson7580-0.580.08-0.66-0.26-113-1416.416.8-0.4217.015.91.09
Gerald Henderson7475-0.780.28-1.07-0.31-168-2416.416.9-0.5616.119.3-3.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.37,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 113, CHH 1070.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.49,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.58,0.5,0.31,0.55,0.57,0.04,089.5%
MIA 105, IND 960.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.17,0.46,0.61,0.37,0.23,0.02,089.2%
CHA 104, TOR 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.82,0.85,0.75,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.61,0.46,0.32,0.73,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.16,089.1%