NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	127		Excitement	7.8 [288]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +41.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	129		Comeback	1249.0 [3]		LVP	Jae Crowder (DAL): -9.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.01	9	78%	0.18	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.02	-0.03	13	65%	0.12	1	0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Brandan Wright	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.05	0.04	7	87%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	2	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.03	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.03	0.09	-0.07	-0.01	22	52%	0.03	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
Shane Larkin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,-0.03	0.13	-0.14	0.02	9	89%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	8	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeJuan Blair	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03	0.04	-0.07	0.01	5	73%	0.06	1	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.02	0.01	13	43%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	0%	-0.06
Jae Crowder	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.41	0.41	0.29	0.15	0.03	14	94%	0.45	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,0.16	0.16	-0.00	0.19	0.02	13	48%	0.22	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.11
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.04	0.02	18	66%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,0,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.03	11	61%	0.14	5	-0.16	16	81%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	11	52%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.3	31.6	15.4	27.3	1.7	43.5	148.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +25.9%

LAC +29.2%

LAC +0.9%

DAL -11.0%

LAC +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAC	NBA	DAL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.7	14.7	15.1	128.3	133.0	105.2
season	15.3	14.3		109.0	111.0
opponent	15.4	15.0		104.3	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.0	15.9	13.3	15.5	14.7
LAC	15.4	14.1	14.9	14.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeJuan Blair	30	30	0.43	-0.93	1.36	-0.07	17	-19	36	13.5	15.1	-1.61	14.7	14.7	-0.05
Brandan Wright	26	25	0.31	-0.81	1.11	0.10	7	-9	16	16.4	14.0	2.40	14.2	14.9	-0.72
Vince Carter	46	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.63	20	-22	42	15.1	14.2	0.89	14.7	14.8	-0.10
Shane Larkin	13	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	1	-4	14.8	14.6	0.13	14.2	14.8	-0.65
Jae Crowder	30	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-3	4	13.7	15.1	-1.32	15.6	14.4	1.23
Wayne Ellington	13	11	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	6	-14	14.7	14.7	0.04	14.5	14.8	-0.21
Dirk Nowitzki	67	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	6	-14	14.6	14.9	-0.32	14.3	15.7	-1.43
Monta Ellis	83	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.58	3	-5	8	14.5	15.7	-1.23	14.4	16.4	-2.04
Jose Calderon	73	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.26	-8	6	-14	15.2	13.0	2.19	14.9	14.3	0.62
Shawn Marion	69	66	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.47	-8	6	-14	14.4	15.2	-0.78	15.2	13.8	1.36
Samuel Dalembert	45	43	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.07	-23	21	-44	14.4	14.9	-0.43	15.2	14.4	0.77

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	61	61	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	-2	6	14.7	14.9	-0.21	14.9	14.3	0.55
JJ Redick	61	62	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.02	19	-17	36	15.0	14.3	0.63	15.1	13.9	1.26
Blake Griffin	80	83	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.54	-2	4	-6	14.7	14.9	-0.18	14.5	15.6	-1.16
DeAndre Jordan	81	81	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.56	-4	6	-10	14.7	14.8	-0.10	15.0	13.1	1.96
Jamal Crawford	55	57	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.46	-7	9	-16	14.5	15.0	-0.43	14.5	14.8	-0.31
Jared Dudley	63	63	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	6	-10	14.4	15.4	-0.96	13.9	15.9	-1.98
Darren Collison	71	74	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	-1	4	15.1	13.7	1.37	14.6	14.7	-0.08
Darius Morris	13	14	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	1	0	14.7	14.7	-0.05	14.6	14.7	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.64,0.58,0.43,0.3,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 96, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.07,0.11,0.22,0.16,1	87.6%
WAS 91, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.17,1	87.4%
DET 85, TOR 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.38,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.59,1	87.3%