NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	91		Excitement	9.0 [112]		MVP	Tyrone Nesby (WAS): +16.5%
Toronto Raptors	92		Comeback	12.2 [82]		LVP	Michael Jordan (WAS): -65.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Nesby	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	9	67%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.01	11	54%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kwame Brown	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.00	3	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jahidi White	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	17	54%	-0.00	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.04
Popeye Jones	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	4	42%	-0.04	4	-0.15	4	75%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.65	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.11,0,-0.65	-0.11	-0.54	0.00	17	39%	-0.38	3	-0.27	2	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.06	0.02	18	60%	0.14	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.05
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,0.07	0.07	-0.08	0.14	-0.01	14	44%	0.13	1	-0.06	11	82%	0.01
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	10	54%	0.08	3	-0.13	4	75%	0.01
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	56%	0.03	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.34	-0.34	-0.17	-0.18	-0.00	11	37%	-0.21	6	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	26.2	17.3	26.4	2.4	32.4	131.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +40.5%

WAS -4.3%

TOR +8.2%

TOR +0.4%

TOR +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	15.4	15.5	15.6	97.8	98.9	102.3
season	16.5	16.2		102.2	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.3		100.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.6	14.8	14.9	16.5	15.4
TOR	15.7	14.6	16.4	15.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	31	30	0.27	-0.77	1.05	0.30	-1	0	-1	15.5	15.4	0.10	15.4	15.6	-0.27
Tyrone Nesby	56	57	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.22	9	-10	19	14.4	17.0	-2.58	15.1	16.2	-1.10
Courtney Alexander	32	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-1	1	17.7	14.2	3.41	16.1	15.3	0.87
Brendan Haywood	19	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	1	-3	15.9	15.3	0.66	15.4	15.6	-0.22
Jahidi White	28	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	3	-7	17.2	14.6	2.57	16.1	15.3	0.74
Popeye Jones	50	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.52	12	-13	25	15.1	15.8	-0.73	15.8	15.2	0.63
Tyronn Lue	20	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	5	-11	13.9	15.8	-1.87	15.7	15.5	0.15
Chris Whitney	57	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	6	-13	16.7	13.4	3.36	15.4	15.8	-0.37
Michael Jordan	44	44	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.55	1	-2	3	14.1	16.6	-2.48	15.9	15.2	0.73
Richard Hamilton	73	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.54	-2	1	-3	15.5	15.3	0.15	15.4	16.1	-0.77
Christian Laettner	55	54	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.50	-5	4	-9	14.5	16.7	-2.18	15.3	15.9	-0.56

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	69	67	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.53	3	-2	5	15.1	16.7	-1.62	15.3	15.7	-0.43
Keon Clark	51	51	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.49	1	0	1	15.4	15.7	-0.26	14.9	16.0	-1.10
Alvin Williams	76	77	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.58	-2	3	-5	15.4	16.1	-0.70	15.8	13.7	2.09
Morris Peterson	83	83	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	1	-1	15.8	13.8	1.96	15.8	11.9	3.94
Antonio Davis	79	80	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.48	-4	5	-9	15.5	16.1	-0.62	15.7	13.6	2.10
Hakeem Olajuwon	29	28	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	-3	7	15.5	15.6	-0.05	14.5	15.8	-1.26
Dell Curry	16	16	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	-1	3	16.1	15.4	0.70	16.0	15.3	0.70
Eric Montross	24	24	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	0	1	16.4	15.3	1.11	16.3	15.1	1.23
Jermaine Jackson	38	39	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.15	0	1	-1	15.7	15.4	0.27	13.9	16.5	-2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.17,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 107, LAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.79,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.53,0.41,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.09,0.42,1	90.3%
SAC 98, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.17,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.42,1	90.2%
NYK 80, MIA 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.09,1	89.6%